EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-12 17:00 UTC 31 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

176.585

Target

177.201 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.159 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, CMO OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 85 % (11.82) ▼ Bearish 15 % (2.04)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

19:30TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 1h
00:00TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 5h
06:50TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 12h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	2.64
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.82
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.94
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold and momentum indicators have fired bullish signals on the 30M chart.
The broader trend is bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 177.20100 for a potential breakout.
A drop below support at 176.43100 would invalidate the bullish setup.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish reversal signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and RSX OS Entry, alongside a Keltner Lower retreat. These indicate that selling pressure has exhausted and momentum is turning upward from oversold conditions. The candlestick group adds confirmation, suggesting buyers are stepping in at current levels.

However, the broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 15-minute showing a solid downtrend and higher timeframes ranging from trend-forming to choppy/sideways. This suggests the bullish signals may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 177.20100 is a key barrier; a break above could signal a stronger recovery, while failure to hold above support at 176.43100 would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of oversold exits and bullish crossovers across several indicators.
▲ Keltner lower retreat suggests price is bouncing off the lower band.
▲ Strong signal strength and high probability (85%) support the bullish case.
▲ Candlestick patterns add confirmation to the indicator signals.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends remain bearish, which could cap upside.
▼ The 15-minute trend is solidly bearish, conflicting with the 30M bullish signals.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 176.43100, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Momentum may fade if the bounce stalls at resistance.