USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-12 17:00 UTC 31 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

159.702

Target

159.989 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.665 −0.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, MOM Zero Cross Up, QSTICK Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.4 % – first candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 63 % (15.23) ▼ Bearish 37 % (8.82)

model score 63.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

19:00TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 58m
13:30TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 19h
13:30TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 19h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.60
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.90
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The signal is a BUY with weak strength and 63% probability, driven by multiple indicator crossovers.
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish, while higher timeframes (2h-4h) are bullish, creating a mixed trend outlook.
Resistance at 159.94600 is the immediate hurdle; support at 159.53400 is the key downside level to watch.
The bearish MACD and AO signals temper the bullish case, suggesting the move may be a bounce rather than a trend reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal fires a BUY with a 63% probability, though strength is weak. The confluence of multiple indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, suggests a short-term bullish impulse within a broader bearish intraday context. However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1h are bearish, while the 2h and 4h are bullish, indicating conflicting momentum. The price is currently near the nearest resistance at 159.94600, which could cap upside, while support at 159.53400 provides a downside reference.

Given the weak signal strength and the bearish higher timeframe alignment on the 30m and 1h, this buy signal may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a sustained reversal. The MACD Signal Cross Down and AO Saucer Bearish add caution, suggesting that momentum may not be fully aligned. The key is to watch whether the price can break above the resistance level; failure to do so could lead to a retest of support. The overall trend across timeframes is mixed, with longer timeframes (2h and above) showing bullish bias, which could eventually support a larger upward move if the short-term bearish pressure fades.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals including BOP Zero Cross Up and MOM Zero Cross Up indicate buying pressure.
▲ Bollinger Bands lower band retreat up suggests a bounce from oversold conditions.
▲ Higher timeframe trends (2h and above) are bullish, which could support a larger upward move.
▲ EMA 200 retreat up indicates the price is holding above the long-term moving average.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30m and 1h trends are bearish, conflicting with the buy signal and suggesting possible counter-trend movement.
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down and AO Saucer Bearish indicate weakening momentum, which could invalidate the bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 159.94600 is a strong ceiling; a rejection there could lead to a pullback.
▼ Weak signal strength (63%) and choppy/sideways conditions on some timeframes reduce confidence in the trade.