AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.96 %

Entry

0.69209

Target

0.68542 +0.96 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70246 −1.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 44m
19:00TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 1h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.55
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.97
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart: multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern align for a sell.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) support the bearish bias, but lower timeframes are bullish, so expect possible pullbacks.
Watch the 0.70246 resistance and 0.68542 support; a break below support confirms the move, above resistance invalidates.
The signal is very strong with 89% probability, but always manage risk and use stop-losses.

The 2H AUD/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, SMA 50, HMA) alongside STOCH KD and KDJ OB exits. This confluence of momentum and trend indicators points to a strong short-term selling pressure, with price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band. The high probability (89%) and very strong strength reflect the alignment of these signals, suggesting that the immediate bias is to the downside.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid trends (3/5). However, the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bullish, which could provide temporary support or cause choppy price action. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70246 and support at 0.68542. A break below support would reinforce the bearish outlook, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA, SMA, HMA) all retreating downward, confirming momentum shift.
▼ Bearish Engulfing pattern adds candlestick confirmation to the indicator-based signals.
▼ Stochastic and KDJ both exiting overbought territory, suggesting exhaustion of buying pressure.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 4H and 8H timeframes provide higher-timeframe alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce or consolidation against the signal.
▲ The nearest support at 0.68542 is a key level; a break below it is needed to confirm the move, otherwise the sell may stall.
▲ If price rallies back above the 0.70246 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum signals can fade quickly; watch for any reversal candlestick patterns on the 2H chart.