AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY With the trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 23:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.01 %

Entry

0.69233

Target

0.70246 +1.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68796 −0.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 52m
19:00TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 1h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.64
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.10
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, indicating short-term upward momentum.
30-minute trend is solidly bullish, but higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) remain bearish, suggesting a counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 0.70246 is the immediate upside target; support at 0.68796 is the invalidation level.
Watch for a break below 0.68796 to negate the bullish setup.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat-up signals across EMAs, KAMA, MAMA, and the midpoint. This confluence indicates a short-term momentum shift to the upside, with the 30-minute timeframe displaying a solid bullish trend (3/5). The immediate bias is for a continuation of the bounce, with the nearest resistance at 0.70246 providing the first upside target and the nearest support at 0.68796 acting as the invalidation zone.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H trends all solidly bearish. This creates a potential conflict: the 30-minute bullish signal may represent a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is therefore mixed, and the bullish signal should be viewed as a tactical opportunity rather than a major trend reversal. Key levels to watch are the resistance at 0.70246, which could stall the advance, and the support at 0.68796, a break below which would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, midpoint) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Solid bullish trend score (3/5) on the 30-minute timeframe.
▲ Price retreating up from key moving averages, suggesting buying interest on dips.
▲ High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H) are solidly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The 15-minute trend is bearish, indicating immediate intraday resistance to the upside.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70246 may cap gains, especially if it coincides with a higher-timeframe moving average.
▼ A break below the 0.68796 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling.