ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-10 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.01 %

Entry

0.02764

Target

0.02746 +0.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03053 −10.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,215 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,215 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.56 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Pennant, ALMA Break Down, ER Level Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↑ +11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.27) ▼ Bearish 93 % (15.86)

model score 44.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.57
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish confluence: Bear Pennant breakdown and ALMA Break Down confirm downside momentum.
Multi-timeframe alignment: All timeframes show bearish trends, with strong trends on 15m, 1h, and 2h.
Key resistance at 0.03053; no clear support, leaving room for further downside.
ZSCORE Extreme Low suggests the move is overextended—watch for potential short-term bounce.

The 4H chart for ETH/BTC has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, led by a Bear Pennant breakdown and an ALMA Break Down, confirming sustained downside momentum. The STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests a minor intraday bounce, but the ER Level Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme Low indicate that the move is overextended, potentially setting up for a continuation lower. Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with strong trends on the 15m, 1h, and 2h charts, and solid trends on the 30m, 4h, and daily charts, while the 8h and 12h are still forming bearish trends, adding to the overall bearish alignment.

With the nearest resistance at 0.03053, this level is likely to act as a ceiling for any retracement. The absence of a defined support level suggests that the downside could be open, but traders should watch for potential exhaustion given the ZSCORE Extreme Low. The confluence of pattern and indicator signals, combined with the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, strengthens the case for a continued sell-off, though the extreme readings warrant caution against chasing the move.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with strong trend scores on lower and mid timeframes.
▼ Bear Pennant pattern breakdown and ALMA Break Down provide technical confirmation.
▼ ER Level Cross Down adds momentum to the bearish case.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme Low, while extreme, often aligns with strong trend continuation in the direction of the move.

Risk Factors

▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low could signal an oversold condition, increasing the risk of a sharp counter-trend bounce.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up indicates a possible short-term bullish crossover, which could lead to a temporary pullback.
▲ The 8h and 12h trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the longer-term bearish structure is not yet fully confirmed.
▲ Watch the 0.03053 resistance: a break above this level would invalidate the immediate bearish setup.