NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 00:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.59 %

Entry

0.56271

Target

0.55274 +1.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56581 −0.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 10m
19:00TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 1h
21:30TodayNZDBusinessNZ Manufacturing Index●●○in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.99
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.97
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.60
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.49
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.47
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum on the 1H, but overall trend is bullish on 4H-1H timeframes.
Key support at 0.55274; a break could open further downside.
Resistance at 0.56581 caps upside; watch for rejection there.
Signal strength is weak, so expect limited follow-through.

The 1H SELL signal on NZD/USD is driven by a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators aligning bearish: the BOP zero cross down, RSI and Williams %R exits from overbought, a bearish STOCHF cross, and a TEMA retreat. This suggests short-term downside pressure after a recent upswing. However, the signal's probability is moderate (57%) with weak strength, and the broader trend context is mixed: while the 1D and 12H timeframes are bearish, the 4H to 1H timeframes are bullish, creating conflicting signals. The nearest support at 0.55274 is a key downside target, while resistance at 0.56581 caps upside.

The bearish momentum on the 1H is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure on the lower timeframes. The signal may represent a short-term pullback rather than a trend reversal. The HT PHASOR inphase cross up and HT TRENDMODE turning to trend add complexity, indicating potential for volatility. Traders should watch price action around the support level; a break below could confirm bearish continuation, while a bounce could invalidate the signal. The weak strength suggests limited follow-through, so risk management is crucial.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) align bearish.
▼ TEMA retreat and Keltner upper retreat confirm short-term downside.
▼ Daily and 12H timeframes are bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ Overbought exits suggest a natural pullback from recent highs.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trend (4H-1H) is bullish, conflicting with the sell signal.
▲ Weak signal strength (57%) suggests low conviction.
▲ A bounce off support at 0.55274 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ HT PHASOR cross up and HT TRENDMODE to trend could indicate a resumption of the bullish trend.