USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 23:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.26 %

Entry

0.81955

Target

0.82268 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81742 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 44m
19:00TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 1h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.62
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.61
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.22
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.09
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is building on the 30-minute chart, but the broader trend is still bearish.
Watch the resistance at 0.82268 for a potential breakout; support at 0.81742 is the key invalidation level.
The strong signal probability (84%) suggests high confluence, but counter-trend moves can be short-lived.
Overall trend scores are weak across timeframes, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, ERI Bull Zero Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up, alongside candlestick confirmations. These indicators collectively suggest that buying pressure is building after a period of decline, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish in the short term. The signal strength is strong with an 84% probability, indicating a high level of confluence among the indicators.

However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily showing bearish trends, albeit with weak trend scores (1-2 out of 5). This suggests that the current bullish signals may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.82268 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.81742 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend, which could limit upside potential.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200, ERI, SMI) all fired bullish signals simultaneously.
▲ Candlestick patterns add confirmation to the bullish signals.
▲ Strong signal strength and high probability (84%) increase confidence in the move.
▲ The signals occur near support, providing a potential bounce zone.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
▼ The trend scores are weak (1-2/5), indicating choppy or sideways conditions rather than a strong trend.
▼ If price falls below support at 0.81742, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Resistance at 0.82268 may cap upside and lead to a reversal back down.