USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 21:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %

Entry

157.912

Target

157.255 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.543 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSDEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change●●○Forecast 0.016MPrevious 0.280Min 14m
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 14m
18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.00
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.77
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.12
▼	Short Line Bearish	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30M timeframe with multiple retreat signals and BOP zero cross down.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy, reducing conviction.
Key support at 157.84900; a break could open further downside, while resistance at 158.18900 is the invalidation level.
Probability of 91% and very strong signal strength indicate high alignment among indicators.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, including BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) alongside a trendline retreat. This confluence points to strong selling pressure as price pulls back from resistance, with momentum and trend indicators aligned to the downside. The signal strength is very strong, with a 91% probability, suggesting a high degree of alignment across the indicators.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15-minute up to 1-day, though the higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy/sideways, which tempers the conviction. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 157.84900; a break below that could extend the move, while resistance at 158.18900 serves as the invalidation zone. The combination of retreat signals and a bearish trend score across all timeframes supports a continuation lower, but traders should watch for a potential bounce at support given the higher timeframe sideways action.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all align bearish.
▼ BOP zero cross down confirms selling pressure.
▼ Trendline retreat adds a technical confluence.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes from 15M to 1D.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could limit downside follow-through.
▲ If price holds above support at 157.84900, a bounce could occur, invalidating the immediate bearish bias.
▲ A break above resistance at 158.18900 would negate the signal and suggest a false breakout.
▲ Momentum may fade if the retreat signals lose steam on lower timeframes.