AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 12:00 UTC 28 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %

Entry

8.5280

Target

8.0680 +5.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.7470 −2.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 14,801 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 14,801 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 17 % (5.98) ▼ Bearish 83 % (28.84)

model score 82.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.7 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 32.7 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,440 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 12:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.69
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.61
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.57
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.28
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.97
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.86
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.55
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bullish, creating a conflict.
Immediate downside targets are near the nearest support at 8.06800; a break below could accelerate selling.
Watch for a bounce off support or a bullish reversal on the 30-minute to invalidate the sell signal.
The daily timeframe is bearish but choppy, so the medium-term trend is not clearly aligned with the short-term sell.

The 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, KAMA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, and T3 Retreat Down, with a total of 13 bearish indicators and candlestick patterns. This suggests a strong short-term momentum shift to the downside. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15-minute and daily timeframes are bearish, the 30-minute through 12-hour timeframes are bullish, though most are only in the early stages of trend formation. This creates a conflict where the immediate sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend, or the start of a reversal if the higher timeframes begin to turn.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 8.74700 and support at 8.06800. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward lower levels, while a bounce off support could invalidate the signal. The alignment of multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart suggests that short-term traders may follow the sell signal, but the bullish higher timeframes warrant caution. The signal's high probability (82%) and strong strength indicate conviction, yet the conflicting higher timeframe trends mean that the move could be limited in scope unless the daily timeframe confirms a bearish shift.

Catalysts

▼ Thirteen bearish indicators firing together on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong momentum alignment.
▼ The 15-minute and daily timeframes are bearish, providing some confluence for the sell signal.
▼ Price breaking below multiple moving averages (BBANDS middle, DEMA, KAMA) suggests a shift in short-term trend.
▼ High probability (82%) and strong strength scores increase confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m-12h) are bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ Nearest support at 8.06800 is a potential bounce zone; if it holds, the sell signal may fail.
▲ The daily trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear medium-term direction.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 8.74700, the bearish signal would be invalidated.