AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY With the trend 5× UPDATED

2026-11-11 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.80 %

Entry

8.5840

Target

9.1600 +6.71 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.7730 −9.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,230 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,230 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.55 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hist Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div, ALMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↓ −0.7 vs previous candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 86 % (20.08) ▼ Bearish 14 % (3.19)

model score 86.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 3h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 4h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Hist Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.69
▲	Momentum Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.68
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.56
▲	Williams %R Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.32
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.22
▲	EMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.06
▲	SMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.05
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	1.97
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	1.97
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.83
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	1.76
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.09
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 4H chart, with multiple moving average breakouts and momentum crossovers aligning.
Trend is bullish across lower timeframes (15m to 8h), but higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are still bearish, so watch for conflict.
Key resistance at 9.16000 is the immediate upside target; a break above would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 7.77300 is the critical invalidation level; a close below would negate the signal.

The 4H chart for AVA/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including EMA 50 Break Up, SMA 50 Break Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, and MIDPRICE Break Up, alongside momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing back up from oversold territory. The EMA Retreat Up further confirms that price is pulling back to the rising EMA and bouncing, indicating a shift from bearish momentum to bullish intent. The confluence of multiple breakout signals on the same timeframe strengthens the case for a sustained move higher, especially with a very strong probability score of 93%.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m up to 8h, though the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bearish, which introduces a potential conflict. The 4H trend is forming (2/5), meaning the bullish structure is still in its early stages. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 9.16000 and support at 7.77300. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and suggest the higher timeframe downtrend is reasserting.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple breakout signals (EMA 50, SMA 50, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all firing simultaneously on the 4H chart, indicating strong bullish confluence.
▲ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing up from zero/oversold levels, suggesting a shift in momentum to the upside.
▲ EMA Retreat Up confirms that price is holding above the EMA and bouncing, a classic bullish continuation pattern.
▲ Very high probability score (93%) and very strong signal strength, reflecting high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend (12h and 1d) is still bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal if the bullish move fails.
▼ The 4H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bullish structure is not yet fully established and could be fragile.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 9.16000, the signal may stall and consolidate, weakening the bullish case.
▼ A close below support at 7.77300 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a sharp decline.