EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 10:00 UTC 10 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

1.11411

Target

1.11701 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.10902 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 89 % (11.20) ▼ Bearish 11 % (1.39)

model score 88.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.77
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.12
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.04
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold and momentum reversal signals fired simultaneously on the 30M chart, indicating a strong short-term bullish setup.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
Watch the 1.11701 resistance and 1.11351 support levels; a break of support invalidates the bullish signal.
Probability is high (88%) and strength is very strong, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher-timeframe context.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish reversal signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI and Williams %R oversold exits, a StochRSI KD cross up, and a KDJ cross up. These are complemented by a HMA retreat up and a HT Phasor inphase cross up, all indicating that downside momentum is exhausting and buyers are stepping in. The confluence of multiple oscillator and trend-based signals at the same time elevates the probability to 88% with very strong strength, suggesting a high-confidence bounce attempt.

However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute and 15-minute trends both bearish and solid. The 1-hour and 1-day trends also remain bearish, while higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are choppy but still bearish. This means the current bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.11701 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.11351 is the key invalidation level. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, but a failure to hold support would likely resume the dominant downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple oscillator signals (RSI, StochRSI, Williams %R, KDJ) all exiting oversold conditions at the same time.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and HMA Retreat Up indicate buying pressure is overcoming selling pressure on the 30M chart.
▲ HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up suggests a shift in the cyclical component toward bullish alignment.
▲ The proximity to support at 1.11351 provides a clear reference for a potential higher-low formation.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend across 15M, 30M, 1H, and 1D timeframes could overwhelm the counter-trend bounce.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are choppy but still bearish, offering no confirmation of a broader reversal.
▼ If price breaks below the 1.11351 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Oscillator-based signals can fire prematurely in a strong downtrend; momentum may fade quickly near resistance.