ICP/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-11 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.32 %

Entry

2.5480

Target

2.2600 +11.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

2.6700 −4.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,230 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,230 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.55 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +11.9 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (16.39)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.7 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 3,362 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ICP/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 3h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 4h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.16
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired on the 4H, indicating strong selling pressure.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are already bearish, aligning with the 4H signal.
Watch the 2.26000 support; a break could accelerate downside, while 2.67000 is the key resistance to reclaim.
The Tweezers Top adds candlestick confirmation to the indicator-based signals.

The 4H ICP/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, and a Tweezers Top candlestick pattern. This confluence indicates a strong shift in short-term momentum, with selling pressure building across multiple indicators. The Tweezers Top at a resistance area adds a candlestick confirmation, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

While the immediate 4H trend is still bullish (2/5 forming), the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are already bearish with solid trend scores (3/5), suggesting that the current pullback could be the start of a larger reversal. The 15M timeframe is also bearish, aligning with the 4H signal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2.67000 and support at 2.26000. A break below the 4H bullish structure would open the path toward the support, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of six bearish signals across different indicator groups (BOP, STOCHF, ER, ACCBANDS, KELTNER, candlestick).
▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H and 1D) are bearish with solid trend scores, supporting the 4H signal.
▼ The 15M trend is bearish, providing short-term alignment.
▼ The Tweezers Top at resistance suggests a potential reversal zone.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is still bullish (2/5 forming), so the bearish signal could be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ Multiple mid-term timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H, 8H) are bullish, which could counter the bearish momentum.
▲ If price reclaims the 2.67000 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the stochastic and BOP signals lose steam without a clear break below support.