NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 10:00 UTC 10 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

0.55895

Target

0.56140 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55380 −0.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, ULTOSC OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (12.45) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 11h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.24
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	2.12
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.34

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong oversold-exit cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce is likely.
The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend buy.
Watch the resistance at 0.56140 for a potential upside target; a break above could extend the retracement.
A drop below support at 0.55865 would invalidate the bullish signal.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of oversold-exit signals, including RSI, CMO, ULTOSC, WILLR, and KDJ, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCH KD Cross Up. This confluence indicates that downside momentum has stalled and buying pressure is emerging, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. The signal is rated with very strong probability, reflecting the synchronized nature of these oscillator reversals.

However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 15-minute, 30-minute, and daily charts showing solid downtrends. This means the current buy signal is counter-trend, likely representing a corrective move within a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 0.56140 is a key hurdle; a break above it could signal a deeper retracement, while failure to hold above support at 0.55865 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, aware that the primary trend remains down.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, CMO, ULTOSC, WILLR, KDJ) exited oversold conditions simultaneously, indicating strong momentum reversal.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up confirms buying pressure is taking over from sellers.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up adds further confirmation of a bullish crossover.
▲ The signal's very strong probability reflects the high confluence of indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The primary trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this bounce could be short-lived and fade quickly.
▼ Resistance at 0.56140 is nearby and may cap upside momentum.
▼ If the price breaks below support at 0.55865, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 4H, 8H) are bearish and could reassert downward pressure.