USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 04:30 UTC 32 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

1.41995

Target

1.41685 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42613 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, RSX OB Entry, TEMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 31 % (6.36) ▼ Bearish 69 % (14.45)

model score 20.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
13:30TomorrowCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.55
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.15
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.61
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.28
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.20
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exits and downward crosses on the 30M chart signal a short-term bearish momentum shift.
The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend pullback, not a reversal.
Watch for a break below the nearest support at 1.41685 to confirm the downside move; reclaiming resistance at 1.42102 would invalidate it.
Strength is moderate, so expect limited follow-through unless price breaks key support.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, TEMA Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and KDJ OB Exit, plus additional momentum and candlestick confirmations. This suggests a short-term momentum shift to the downside, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought territory and crossing down simultaneously. However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily is bullish, though most are only in a 'trend forming' stage (2/5) with the 1H, 2H, and 4H showing solid trends (3/5). This means the bearish signal is a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend, and the probability of 69% with moderate strength reflects this mixed context.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.42102 and nearest support at 1.41685. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for a deeper correction, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish case. Given the bullish higher-timeframe trend, the sell signal is likely to be a corrective move rather than a reversal, so traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained downtrend. The confluence of multiple indicators pointing down increases the reliability of the short-term move, but the bullish backdrop remains a significant headwind.

Catalysts

▼ Dense cluster of bearish signals across multiple oscillators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, WILLR, TEMA, HT PHASOR, KDJ) increases confidence in the short-term move.
▼ Candlestick and indicator groups both firing, adding confluence to the bearish signal.
▼ Overbought exits on RSI, WILLR, and KDJ suggest the market was stretched to the upside and is due for a correction.
▼ Probability of 69% indicates a moderately strong edge for the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes (especially solid 1H, 2H, 4H trends) could overwhelm the short-term bearish signal, leading to a quick reversal back up.
▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.41685, the bearish move may stall and the signal could fade.
▲ Momentum indicators are exiting overbought, but that alone does not guarantee a sustained decline; a bullish continuation could resume if buyers step in at support.
▲ The signal is on the 30M timeframe, which is lower than the solid higher-timeframe trends, so the move may be short-lived.