XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-12 12:00 UTC 20 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

1.0269

Target

1.0158 +1.08 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.3414 −30.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,230 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,230 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.55 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Pennant, ALMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 12 % (3.54) ▼ Bearish 88 % (25.46)

model score 87.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for XRP/USDT

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 36m
18:00TodayUSD30-Year Bond Auction●●○in 1h
13:30TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 21h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 16:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.23
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.98
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.95
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.71
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	2.37
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.07
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong across multiple timeframes, with 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing very strong downtrends.
The Bear Pennant pattern signals a likely continuation of the downtrend, not a reversal.
Nearest resistance at 1.34140 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Oversold RSI and a bullish STOCHF cross hint at potential short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains down.

The 4H chart for XRP/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, anchored by a Bear Pennant pattern and a very strong AROON downtrend. This is reinforced by a suite of moving-average retreat signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) plus RSI entering oversold territory and an STOCHF KD cross up. The confluence of pattern and momentum indicators points to sustained selling pressure, with the nearest resistance at 1.34140 acting as the immediate ceiling.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid: 15m, 30m, and 2h all show solid downtrends (3/5), while 4H, 8H, and 12H are very strong (4/5). The 1H and 1D trends are still forming (2/5), but the overall alignment supports the bearish bias. The Bear Pennant suggests a continuation lower, and the retreat signals confirm price is pulling back from recent highs. Traders should watch for a break below recent lows to confirm the pattern, with 1.34140 as the key resistance to monitor for any reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes (4/5 strength) supports the bearish signal.
▼ Multiple moving-average retreat signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) confirm price is pulling back from highs.
▼ The Bear Pennant pattern provides a clear continuation setup, adding confluence to the bearish bias.
▼ AROON strong downtrend confirms the presence of a solid downward move.

Risk Factors

▲ RSI is in oversold territory and STOCHF shows a bullish cross, which could trigger a short-term bounce against the trend.
▲ The 1H and 1D timeframes are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the higher-timeframe trend is not fully established.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.34140 would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to a reversal.
▲ Bear Pennant patterns can fail if price breaks upward instead, so watch for a close above the pattern's upper boundary.