Dow Jones DJI · Forecast & Analysis
Heads-up: USD CPI y/y is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI m/m is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD CPI is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD CPI m/m is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI n.s.a. m/m is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
Heads-up: USD Core CPI y/y is due in 3 h (high impact). The outlook can shift noticeably around it.
The Dow Jones leans bullish: an unusually large rebound over the past day has restored momentum after last week's post-midterm selloff. Trends point up across timeframes and news has turned supportive, though a high-impact CPI report is due shortly.
News situation · 40 items / 30 D
No official disclosure in this window — everything below is reporting about DJI, not from it.
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Outlook for Dow Jones Industrial Average
Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.
No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 40 news items.
What drives it
- Monday's 2.15% rally and further futures gains have undone much of last week's post-midterm slide
- The hourly trend is strong and every measured timeframe points up after the rebound
- Easing Iran tensions pulled crude oil lower, softening inflation concerns
- Investors are positioning ahead of the October CPI report, expected to show slower monthly inflation
What argues against it
- Midterm voters backed data-centre restrictions, feeding AI-buildout doubts that drove last week's rout
- Most Fed officials are seen backing at least one more hike, keeping December rate-rise odds elevated
- A 4.8% ten-year Treasury yield pulls investors toward safer assets
What would change the picture
- A CPI reading well above forecast shortly could revive rate-hike fears; a soft one would support the rebound
- A daily close back above the 50-day EMA near 52,150 would confirm the recovery has held
- Fresh AI- or data-centre regulation headlines could restart the selling
Coming up
- US: Consumer prices · expected 4.2%, previous 3.7%
- US: Jobless claims
Economic data for DJI
Full calendarComing up
- TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 3h
- TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 3h
- TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3h
- TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 3h
- TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3h
- TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 3h
- TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%in 3h
- November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 2 days
All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on US30.
Trend across all eight timeframes
All measured timeframes trend upward, but strength fades quickly with the horizon: strong on the hourly chart, moderate on the 30-minute, and weak to very weak from the two-hour chart up. That profile fits a fresh rebound whose longer-term damage is still being repaired.
What this means for your trading style
- The fastest charts show only a moderate updrift without clear conviction, leaving scalping with a neutral read amid today's event risk.
- The one- and two-hour trends are firmly up after Monday's rebound, giving intraday a very strong bullish read, with today's CPI the main risk.
- The four- and eight-hour charts lean bullish, though trend strength there is still weak after last week's sharp drop, so the recovery is young.
- Longer charts also point up, but with very weak trend strength the positional picture is directionally bullish yet early in its repair.
Both worlds over time
One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.
What is being reported about DJI
In-depth analysis of Dow Jones Industrial Average
AI-generated · as of November 10, 2026
The past week has been a round trip. After the midterm elections the Dow suffered its worst session since April 2025, losing well over 1,600 points as voters backed data-centre restrictions across dozens of local ballots and the Democratic win stirred doubts about the AI buildout; the drop erased the entire post-election rally and briefly took the index back to
Read full analysis
its pre-midterm levels near 51,500. From there the story flipped: Monday brought a 2.15% gain, futures added further ground in European hours on Tuesday, and the last 24 hours show an unusually large rise that the recovery rally and positioning ahead of the October CPI report help explain. The technical picture now points up on every measured timeframe, but the strength sits at the short end of the curve: the hourly trend is strong while the two-hour and longer charts are only weakly bullish, which is typical of a young rebound still repairing last week's damage. Levels from the selloff remain relevant — the 50-day EMA near 52,150 capped earlier attempts and the daily EMA 100 at 51,854.87 sits just above, while the daily EMA 200 at 50,712.68 marks the deeper floor should the rally fail. News and technicals agree on direction, but conviction is thin beyond the very short horizon, and the high-impact CPI release due within hours, with annual 12-month inflation figures unavailable this month and jobless claims following in two days, can move DJI sharply in either direction.
Frequently asked questions about Dow Jones Industrial Average
Why did the Dow fall so sharply last week?
Thursday's session was the index's worst since April 2025: more than 1,600 points were lost after voters backed data-centre restrictions in dozens of local measures and the Democratic midterm win stirred doubts about the AI buildout. The drop erased the entire post-election rally, though the Dow lost less than the tech-heavy Nasdaq thanks to its lower AI exposure.
What does the CPI report mean for the Dow?
The October CPI is the nearest high-impact event and lands within hours. Monthly inflation is expected to slow slightly; a softer reading would ease December rate-hike expectations and support the rebound, while a hot one could revive them and stall it. A wrinkle: annual 12-month inflation figures will not be published for October, which clouds the inflation picture and can amplify the market's reaction.
How solid is the recovery on the charts?
Directionally solid but young. Every measured timeframe trends up, yet the strength concentrates at the short end of the curve — strong on the hourly chart, only weak to very weak from two hours up. The 50-day EMA near 52,150 capped earlier attempts and the EMA 100 at 51,854.87 sits just overhead; a daily close back above the 50-day line would be the clearest sign the rebound has stuck.
📝 Overview Generated automatically
DJI has been the subject of 267 signals across 267 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bearish (50%).
Breakdown: 81 bullish, 134 bearish, 52 neutral.
Most-cited catalysts: Positive market sentiment during European trading hours (4×), Index committee decision to replace Verizon with Alphabet (1×), Alphabet added to Dow, becoming second-biggest weight (1×). Most-cited risk factors: Potential for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (3×), Potential for sentiment reversal during US market open (2×), The change is purely structural and may not alter the Dow's overall trajectory if other components dominate. (1×).
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