AUD/JPY – 30M – VENTE

VENTE NOUVEAU

2026-10-14 04:30 UTC il y a 1 heure

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

110.743

Target

110.028 +0.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.295 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 33 % (4.22) ▼ Bearish 67 % (8.69)

model score 9.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 17.3 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 410 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.32
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.90
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.64
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.08
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPTendance naissante

30M

UPSans direction

UPTendance naissante

UPSans direction

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Plusieurs indicateurs baissiers sur le graphique de 30 minutes indiquent un repli à court terme.
La tendance plus large est haussière sur les périodes inférieures mais baissière sur les périodes supérieures, indiquant un mouvement correctif.
Surveillez le niveau de support de 110,02800 comme point de décision clé.
Le signal est de force modérée avec une probabilité de 67 %, alors gérez le risque en conséquence.

Le graphique de 30 minutes de l'AUD/JPY a déclenché un ensemble dense de signaux baissiers, notamment BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, RSX OB Entry, HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit et une configuration de chandelier engloutissant baissier (Bearish Engulfing). Ces indicateurs suggèrent collectivement que le récent élan haussier a calé et s'inverse maintenant sur la période de 30 minutes. La configuration en chandeliers renforce le scénario baissier, car le chandelier engloutissant baissier signale un changement de contrôle des acheteurs vers les vendeurs.

Cependant, le contexte de tendance plus large est mitigé. Alors que les périodes de 15 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 heure, 2 heures et 4 heures sont toutes haussières, les périodes plus élevées (8 heures, 12 heures et quotidienne) sont baissières. Cela suggère que le signal de vente actuel est probablement un repli correctif au sein d'une tendance haussière plus large, plutôt que le début d'une tendance baissière majeure. Le support le plus proche à 110,02800 est un niveau critique à surveiller ; une cassure en dessous pourrait confirmer une correction plus profonde, tandis qu'un rebond depuis ce niveau invaliderait le signal baissier.

Catalyseurs

▼ La confluence de plusieurs signaux baissiers (BOP, RSI, STOCH, KDJ, RSX, HMA, ZSCORE) renforce le scénario de repli.
▼ La configuration de chandelier engloutissant baissier ajoute une confirmation de la pression vendeuse.
▼ La tendance baissière sur les périodes supérieures (8h, 12h, 1j) s'aligne avec le signal de vente, suggérant que le repli pourrait s'étendre.

Facteurs de risque

▲ La tendance haussière dominante sur les périodes inférieures (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h) pourrait reprendre, invalidant le signal de vente.
▲ Si le prix se maintient au-dessus du support de 110,02800, la configuration baissière pourrait échouer et conduire à un rebond.
▲ Le signal n'est que de force modérée ; l'élan pourrait s'estomper rapidement, surtout dans un marché latéral agité.

Symbol AUD/JPY

Timeframe 30M

Direction VENTE

Conviction 9%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-10-14 04:30

cat_ Forex Forex