SOL/BTC – 4H – VENTE

VENTE Dans le sens de la tendance 1× ACTUALISÉ

2026-11-12 16:00 UTC il y a 19 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.06 %

Entry

0.001139

Target

0.001116 +1.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.001219 −7.02 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 2,312 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,312 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.53 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.73 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 22 % at stop avg −3.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, WMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −3.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 33 % (9.41) ▼ Bearish 67 % (19.04)

model score 7.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 20:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	WMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.30
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPSans direction

30M

UPSans direction

UPTendance naissante

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNTendance solide

12H

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance très forte

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal de VENTE sur 4H avec 73% de probabilité, motivé par des indicateurs de momentum baissier.
Les périodes supérieures (4H et plus) sont baissières, soutenant la direction de vente.
Surveillez le support à 0.00112 ; une cassure en dessous pourrait déclencher une baisse supplémentaire.
Les périodes plus courtes sont encore haussières, donc attendez-vous à une action de prix potentiellement volatile.

Le graphique 4H de SOL/BTC a déclenché un signal de VENTE avec une probabilité de 73%, motivé par une confluence d'indicateurs de momentum baissier. Le BOP Zero Cross Down indique un changement de la pression d'achat, tandis que les EMA et WMA Retreat Downs confirment que le prix se replie depuis les récents sommets. La chandelle Northern Doji ajoute une note d'indécision, mais le motif AO Saucer Bullish suggère que le momentum baissier pourrait ralentir, créant une perspective mitigée mais globalement baissière.

Sur les différentes périodes, la tendance est clairement baissière sur le 4H et plus, avec des scores de tendance solides de 3/5 sur 4H, 8H et 12H, et un très fort 4/5 sur le quotidien. Cela correspond au signal de VENTE, soutenu par l'alignement baissier sur les périodes supérieures. Cependant, les périodes plus courtes (15m, 30m, 1h) restent haussières, bien que volatiles, indiquant que le momentum immédiat n'est pas entièrement baissier. Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance la plus proche à 0.00122 et le support à 0.00112. Une cassure sous le support confirmerait la tendance baissière, tandis qu'un mouvement au-dessus de la résistance pourrait invalider le signal.

Catalyseurs

▼ Alignement de tendance baissière sur les périodes 4H, 8H, 12H et quotidienne.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down signale un passage de la pression d'achat à la pression de vente.
▼ EMA et WMA Retreat Downs confirment le repli du prix depuis les récents sommets.
▼ Northern Doji ajoute de la prudence mais ne nie pas le biais baissier.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Le motif AO Saucer Bullish suggère que le momentum baissier pourrait s'estomper.
▲ Les périodes plus courtes (15m à 1h) sont haussières, ce qui pourrait conduire à un rebond.
▲ Si le prix dépasse la résistance à 0.00122, le signal de vente s'affaiblit.
▲ Des conditions volatiles sur les périodes inférieures peuvent provoquer de fausses cassures.