AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL

2026-07-28 04:00 UTC · 12 hours ago

SELL

92%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

▲ Bullish 8% (1.20) ▼ Bearish 92% (13.76)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.85
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.46
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.07
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.06
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.00
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.99
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.99
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.99
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	0.80
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.75
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend Forming

30M

DOWNTrend Forming

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

DOWNTrend Forming

UPTrend Forming

12H

UPSolid Trend

UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) have all crossed below zero, signaling strong bearish momentum.
A trendline retreat down indicates price has pulled back from a key trendline, adding to bearish pressure.
The 4H signal is very strong but conflicts with bullish trends on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D).
Key support at 113.009 is the immediate downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.

AUD/JPY has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals on the 4H timeframe, including a Trendline Retreat Down, multiple zero-cross downs (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR), and a DX Trend Weak reading. This indicates strong selling pressure and momentum shift to the downside. However, the higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bullish, creating a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the medium-term trend. The nearest support at 113.009 is a key level to watch; a break below could confirm the bearish reversal, while holding it may limit downside. The signal's high probability (92%) suggests conviction, but traders should be cautious of the bullish bias on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 8 different zero-cross down signals from BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, and ROCR, indicating broad-based selling momentum.
▼ Trendline retreat down pattern adds technical weight to the bearish case.
▼ DX Trend Weak suggests the prior trend may be losing strength, supporting a reversal.
▼ High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength rating increase confidence in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, which could limit the downside or cause a quick reversal.
▲ The nearest support at 113.009 may act as a floor, preventing further declines if held.
▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 1H and 1D timeframes indicate uncertainty and potential for false signals.
▲ Momentum may fade if price fails to break below support, leading to a consolidation or bounce.