ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL
SELL
89%
▲ Bullish 11% (6.33)
▼ Bearish 89% (51.24)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Momentum Regular Bear Div | divergence | 3.18 |
| ▼ | AO Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.90 |
| ▼ | MACD Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.77 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) | fibonacci | 2.71 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.83 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▼ | Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 0.94 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.93 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend Forming
30MDOWNChoppy / Sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / Sideways
2HDOWNTrend Forming
4HUPSolid Trend
8HUPSolid Trend
12HUPSolid Trend
1DUPSolid Trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on 4H with 94% probability, but higher timeframes are bullish.
- Key support at 0.02870; a break below could confirm bearish continuation.
- Resistance at 0.03020 is the invalidation level for the sell signal.
- Multiple indicators and patterns align for a short-term sell, but trend conflict increases risk.
The ETH/BTC pair on the 4H timeframe has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and a Marubozu Bearish candlestick, all indicating strong selling pressure. However, the longer-term trend across 4H to 1D remains bullish with solid trend scores, creating a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the higher timeframe uptrend. The key invalidation level for the bearish move is the nearest resistance at 0.03020, while the nearest support at 0.02870 is a critical level to watch for a potential breakdown.
Given the high probability (94%) and very strong signal strength, traders should monitor price action around the support level. If the support holds, the bearish signal may be a pullback within the larger uptrend. Conversely, a break below support could signal a deeper correction. The alignment of multiple indicators and the Fibonacci retreat downtrend from the 100% level adds weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend suggests caution.
Given the high probability (94%) and very strong signal strength, traders should monitor price action around the support level. If the support holds, the bearish signal may be a pullback within the larger uptrend. Conversely, a break below support could signal a deeper correction. The alignment of multiple indicators and the Fibonacci retreat downtrend from the 100% level adds weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend suggests caution.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down.
- ▼ Marubozu Bearish candlestick and Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) add weight.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (94% probability) across multiple signal groups.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframe trend (4H to 1D) is bullish, conflicting with the 4H sell signal.
- ▲ Nearest support at 0.02870 may hold, leading to a bounce within the uptrend.
- ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes (15m-2h) could indicate a false breakout.
Symbol
ETH/BTC
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
89%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-29 00:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.03020 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 0.02870 | 2026-07-24 |
| S2 | 0.02868 | 2026-07-18 |
| S3 | 0.02758 | 2026-07-10 |