ETH/BTC 4H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
89%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 36% historisch
⚡ Confluence +18%
▲ Bullish 11% (6.33) ▼ Bearish 89% (51.24)
ETH/BTC  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Momentum Regular Bear Div divergence 3.18
AO Regular Bear Div divergence 2.90
MACD Regular Bear Div divergence 2.77
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) fibonacci 2.71
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.14
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.83
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.41
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.21
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 0.99
Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.98
DX Trend Weak indicator 0.94
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend Forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
2H
DOWNTrend Forming
4H
UPSolid Trend
8H
UPSolid Trend
12H
UPSolid Trend
1D
UPSolid Trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 4H with 94% probability, but higher timeframes are bullish.
  • Key support at 0.02870; a break below could confirm bearish continuation.
  • Resistance at 0.03020 is the invalidation level for the sell signal.
  • Multiple indicators and patterns align for a short-term sell, but trend conflict increases risk.
The ETH/BTC pair on the 4H timeframe has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and a Marubozu Bearish candlestick, all indicating strong selling pressure. However, the longer-term trend across 4H to 1D remains bullish with solid trend scores, creating a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the higher timeframe uptrend. The key invalidation level for the bearish move is the nearest resistance at 0.03020, while the nearest support at 0.02870 is a critical level to watch for a potential breakdown.

Given the high probability (94%) and very strong signal strength, traders should monitor price action around the support level. If the support holds, the bearish signal may be a pullback within the larger uptrend. Conversely, a break below support could signal a deeper correction. The alignment of multiple indicators and the Fibonacci retreat downtrend from the 100% level adds weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend suggests caution.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down.
  • Marubozu Bearish candlestick and Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) add weight.
  • Very strong signal strength (94% probability) across multiple signal groups.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe trend (4H to 1D) is bullish, conflicting with the 4H sell signal.
  • Nearest support at 0.02870 may hold, leading to a bounce within the uptrend.
  • Fading momentum on lower timeframes (15m-2h) could indicate a false breakout.
Symbol ETH/BTC
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-29 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.03020 2026-07-27
S1 0.02870 2026-07-24
S2 0.02868 2026-07-18
S3 0.02758 2026-07-10

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