AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (66.57)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.41 |
| ▲ | CMO OB Exit | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.25 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | RSI OB Exit | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | Three Outside Down | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | Collapsing Doji Star | candlestick | 0.89 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple overbought exit signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a bearish reversal is underway.
- Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are all bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
- The 30-minute trend is still bullish, so a break below recent swing lows would confirm the reversal.
- Key resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231 define the trading range.
The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Double Bottom pattern (which is typically bullish, but here it may be a failed pattern or a bearish continuation setup), CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit, MACD Signal Cross Down, DX Trend Weak, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and SAR Flip Bearish. Together, these indicate that the recent upward momentum has stalled and is reversing, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought territory and the MACD crossing down. The BBANDS middle cross down and SAR flip confirm a shift to bearish momentum on the 30-minute timeframe.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish: the 2-hour and 4-hour charts show very strong bearish trends, and the 8-hour and 12-hour are solidly bearish. The 1-hour is only forming a bearish trend, while the 30-minute itself is still bullish, but the current sell signal suggests a potential reversal. The nearest resistance at 112.980 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bearish bias is reinforced. The nearest support at 109.231 is the primary downside target. The moderate strength and 65% probability suggest a reasonable edge, but traders should monitor the 30-minute bullish trend, which could conflict with the sell signal if it persists.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish: the 2-hour and 4-hour charts show very strong bearish trends, and the 8-hour and 12-hour are solidly bearish. The 1-hour is only forming a bearish trend, while the 30-minute itself is still bullish, but the current sell signal suggests a potential reversal. The nearest resistance at 112.980 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bearish bias is reinforced. The nearest support at 109.231 is the primary downside target. The moderate strength and 65% probability suggest a reasonable edge, but traders should monitor the 30-minute bullish trend, which could conflict with the sell signal if it persists.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong bearish trends on the 2H and 4H timeframes (very strong, 4/5) provide a solid backdrop.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (MACD cross down, RSI/WILLR OB exit, SAR flip) increases signal reliability.
- ▼ The 30-minute price is likely to face selling pressure as the 1H trend is only forming bearish, but the 2H and 4H are already bearish.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30-minute trend is still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is premature or a pullback within an uptrend.
- ▲ The Double Bottom pattern is typically bullish; if it completes, it could invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 112.980, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if the RSI and other oscillators exit oversold quickly, leading to a bounce.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-04 14:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| R3 | 114.11000 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |