AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (66.57)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Double Bottom chart_pattern 3.41
CMO OB Exit indicator 2.40
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.25
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.18
RSI OB Exit indicator 2.14
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.09
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 2.08
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.58
TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.52
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.45
Three Outside Down candlestick 0.98
Collapsing Doji Star candlestick 0.89

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple overbought exit signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a bearish reversal is underway.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are all bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
  • The 30-minute trend is still bullish, so a break below recent swing lows would confirm the reversal.
  • Key resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231 define the trading range.
The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Double Bottom pattern (which is typically bullish, but here it may be a failed pattern or a bearish continuation setup), CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit, MACD Signal Cross Down, DX Trend Weak, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and SAR Flip Bearish. Together, these indicate that the recent upward momentum has stalled and is reversing, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought territory and the MACD crossing down. The BBANDS middle cross down and SAR flip confirm a shift to bearish momentum on the 30-minute timeframe.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish: the 2-hour and 4-hour charts show very strong bearish trends, and the 8-hour and 12-hour are solidly bearish. The 1-hour is only forming a bearish trend, while the 30-minute itself is still bullish, but the current sell signal suggests a potential reversal. The nearest resistance at 112.980 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bearish bias is reinforced. The nearest support at 109.231 is the primary downside target. The moderate strength and 65% probability suggest a reasonable edge, but traders should monitor the 30-minute bullish trend, which could conflict with the sell signal if it persists.
Catalysts
  • Strong bearish trends on the 2H and 4H timeframes (very strong, 4/5) provide a solid backdrop.
  • Confluence of multiple indicators (MACD cross down, RSI/WILLR OB exit, SAR flip) increases signal reliability.
  • The 30-minute price is likely to face selling pressure as the 1H trend is only forming bearish, but the 2H and 4H are already bearish.
Risk Factors
  • The 30-minute trend is still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is premature or a pullback within an uptrend.
  • The Double Bottom pattern is typically bullish; if it completes, it could invalidate the bearish signal.
  • If price breaks above resistance at 112.980, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • Momentum may fade if the RSI and other oscillators exit oversold quickly, leading to a bounce.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 14:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.98000 2026-07-31
R2 113.95000 2026-07-30
R3 114.11000 2026-07-29
S1 109.23100 2026-08-03

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