EUR/JPY – 12H – BUY

2026-08-04 00:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

77%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Position

Prognose: 42% historisch

▲ Bullish 77% (9.39) ▼ Bearish 23% (2.77)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.77
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.23
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.69
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.47
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The BUY signal is counter-trend; the broader 2H-8H trend is strongly bearish.
Oversold indicators and a bullish candlestick suggest a potential short-term bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 185.85900; a break above could signal a deeper correction.
The Death Cross and strong ADXR trend warn that the bounce may be temporary.

The EUR/JPY 12H signal fires a BUY despite a predominantly bearish trend across most timeframes. The signal is driven by a cluster of oversold exit indicators (CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit) and a STOCH KD Cross Up, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. The Long Line Bullish candlestick and Trendline Break Down add confluence, but the SMA 20/50 Death Cross and strong ADXR trend score indicate the broader downtrend remains intact.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish and strong from 2H to 8H, with solid bearish momentum on 12H. However, the 15M and 1D are choppy/sideways, and the 1H trend is only forming. This mixed picture suggests the BUY signal is counter-trend and likely a corrective move within a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 185.85900 is a key level to watch; a failure to break above it would confirm the bearish bias. The lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty, making risk management crucial.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of oversold exit signals (CMO, WILLR) and a stochastic cross up indicate momentum shift.
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick and trendline break down add confluence for a bounce.
▲ The 12H trend is only 'solid' (3/5) compared to stronger bearish trends on lower timeframes, leaving room for a corrective move.

Risk Factors

▼ The overall trend is bearish across most timeframes; a counter-trend trade faces strong resistance.
▼ The SMA 20/50 Death Cross and high ADXR trend score confirm bearish momentum, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ Nearest resistance at 185.85900 is a likely rejection zone; failure to break above invalidates the bullish signal.
▼ No defined support level increases downside risk if the bounce fails.