BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (18.08)
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Signal evolution
Events for BTC/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDCore Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0%in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.6%in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.5%in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.55 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.46 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.14 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.13 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.83 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals on 4H suggest a short-term pullback, but the higher timeframe trend is still bullish.
- Resistance at 65390.99 is the immediate ceiling; support at 62275.00 is the key downside level.
- The sell signal is weak (62% probability) and may be a temporary correction rather than a reversal.
- Watch for a close below 62275.00 to confirm bearish momentum; otherwise, the pullback may be shallow.
The 4H BTC/USDT signal is SELL, driven by a cluster of bearish patterns: a Trendline Retreat Down, a BOP Zero Cross Down, a CCI OB Exit, a TEMA Retreat Down, a Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%), a Bearish Harami, and a Spinning Top Bearish. These signals collectively indicate that the recent up-move is losing momentum and that sellers are stepping in near resistance. The confluence of candlestick, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci signals strengthens the bearish case, though the overall strength is weak (62% probability).
However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bullish, with solid bullish trends on the 30m, 1h, and 2h charts, while the 4H itself is choppy. This suggests the sell signal may be a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 65390.99 (which the price is retreating from) and support at 62275.00. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a hold above could see the pullback fail.
However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bullish, with solid bullish trends on the 30m, 1h, and 2h charts, while the 4H itself is choppy. This suggests the sell signal may be a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 65390.99 (which the price is retreating from) and support at 62275.00. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a hold above could see the pullback fail.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals firing together (trendline, indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci) increase confluence.
- ▼ Price is retreating from a key resistance level (65390.99), which aligns with the bearish patterns.
- ▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OB Exit suggest that buying pressure is fading.
- ▼ The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) indicates that the up-move has broken a key retracement level.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The higher timeframe trend is bullish (30m, 1h, 2h solid), which could override the 4H sell signal.
- ▲ The signal strength is weak (62%), so the move may lack follow-through.
- ▲ If price holds above support and reclaims resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 4H trend is choppy (1/5), so the market may be range-bound rather than trending down.
Symbol
BTC/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 08:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 65,390.99000 | 2026-08-07 |
| R2 | 65,409.56000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 65,744.60000 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 62,275.00000 | 2026-08-01 |
| S2 | 61,824.97000 | 2026-07-13 |