GBP/USD – 1H – BUY

2026-08-11 21:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

BUY

95%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 95% (55.57) ▼ Bearish 5% (2.95)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

11:00TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/07)●●○Previous 6.81in 1h
12:30TodayUSDCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.6%in 2h
12:30TodayUSDCPI s.a (Jul)●●○Forecast 332.6Previous 332.568in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.73
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.57
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence from trend-following indicators (EMA, KAMA, SMA, trendline) on the 1H, but momentum oscillators are turning down – expect possible consolidation.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, supporting the idea that this is a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch key levels: support at 1.34338 (invalidation) and resistance at 1.35154 (first target).
The signal is very strong (86% probability), but the momentum cross down is a caution flag for immediate entry.

The GBP/USD 1H signal is strongly bullish (86% probability, very strong) driven by a cluster of trend-following indicators: Trendline Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and SMA 200 Retreat Up, along with BOP Zero Cross Up. However, the momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) have all crossed down, suggesting that while the longer-term trend is intact, short-term momentum is waning. This divergence implies the bullish move may be on a pause or correction within an uptrend.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish: the 4H, 8H, and 1D are all in solid bullish trends (3/5 strength), while the 1H is bearish/choppy. This suggests that the 1H signal is a counter-trend pullback within a larger bullish structure, which can offer good risk/reward if the pullback holds above support. The nearest support at 1.34338 is critical; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup. The nearest resistance at 1.35154 is the first target to watch.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple retreat-up signals (Trendline, EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200) indicate strong trend alignment and buying interest at support.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up suggests improving buying pressure.
▲ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick groups add confluence, increasing the probability of a bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) have crossed down, suggesting fading short-term momentum and possible pullback.
▼ The 1H timeframe itself is bearish/choppy, conflicting with the buy signal.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.34338 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger further downside.
▼ The 30M and 1H trends are bearish, so the signal may be early; wait for confirmation on lower timeframes.