EUR/AUD – 30M – BUY
BUY
97%
▲ Bullish 97% (67.59)
▼ Bearish 3% (2.25)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 11h
- TomorrowEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3%Previous 2.9%in 18h
- TomorrowEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.6%in 18h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.23 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.34 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, including BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, and HT TRENDLINE retreats up.
- Higher timeframe trend is mixed: bullish on 1H/2H but bearish on 4H/8H, with weak trend strength overall.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.63971, support at 1.63245; watch for a breakout or breakdown.
- Probability is 72% with moderate strength, but the choppy market conditions warrant caution.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%). These signals suggest a potential shift from bearish momentum to bullish, with multiple indicators aligning to support a bounce. However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed: the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes are bullish but with low trend strength (1/5), while the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes remain bearish. This mixed alignment reduces the confidence in the signal, despite the 72% probability. The nearest resistance at 1.63971 and support at 1.63245 are key levels to watch; a break above resistance could confirm the bullish move, while a drop below support would invalidate it.
The signal's confluence across multiple indicator groups—fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick—adds weight to the bullish case, but the overall choppy and sideways market conditions across most timeframes suggest that the move may lack momentum. The daily timeframe shows a trend forming (2/5), which could provide longer-term support for the bullish bias. Traders should look for a sustained push above the nearest resistance with increasing volume to confirm the signal. If the price fails to hold above support, the bullish setup would be negated, and the bearish higher timeframes could reassert control.
The signal's confluence across multiple indicator groups—fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick—adds weight to the bullish case, but the overall choppy and sideways market conditions across most timeframes suggest that the move may lack momentum. The daily timeframe shows a trend forming (2/5), which could provide longer-term support for the bullish bias. Traders should look for a sustained push above the nearest resistance with increasing volume to confirm the signal. If the price fails to hold above support, the bullish setup would be negated, and the bearish higher timeframes could reassert control.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of signals from multiple indicator groups (fibonacci, indicator, candlestick) supports a bullish move.
- ▲ Daily timeframe shows a forming uptrend (2/5), providing a potential longer-term tailwind.
- ▲ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) suggests the downtrend may be exhausted, opening room for a reversal.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends on 4H and 8H could cap upside and lead to a false breakout.
- ▼ Trend strength is very low (1/5) across most timeframes, indicating weak momentum and possible sideways action.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 1.63245, the bullish signal is invalidated and bearish pressure may resume.
- ▼ The SAR Flip Bearish is a conflicting signal, indicating that the trend may not be fully bullish yet.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63971 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 1.64047 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.63245 | 2026-08-11 |
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