EUR/USD 4H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
89%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 36% historisch
▲ Bullish 89% (27.28) ▼ Bearish 11% (3.28)
EUR/USD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 6h
  • TomorrowEURPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.4%Previous 1.8%in 8h
  • TomorrowEURPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.3%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.47
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.66
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.62
EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.60
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.60
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.60
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.45
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.22

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish confluence: Trendline break, stochastic cross, and multiple moving average retreats all signal upward momentum.
  • Strong trend alignment: All timeframes (15m to daily) are bullish, reinforcing the 4H signal.
  • Fibonacci Break UpTrend adds extra confirmation of bullish continuation.
  • Watch key levels: Resistance at 1.16137, support at 1.15114.
The EUR/USD 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events. A breakout above a descending trendline, coupled with a bullish cross on the stochastic fast indicator (STOCHF KD Cross Up), suggests a shift in momentum. Simultaneously, multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) are all retreating upward, indicating that price is pulling back to these dynamic support levels within an uptrend, which often precedes further upside. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) adds another layer of confluence, suggesting that price has broken above a key Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing bullish continuation.

Across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily, the trend is bullish, with most timeframes showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 1H showing a forming trend (2/5). This broad alignment across timeframes is a powerful confirmation of the bullish bias. The nearest resistance is at 1.16137, which could act as the next target, while the nearest support at 1.15114 is a critical level to watch; a break below this would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for potential entry and exit points.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to daily) supports the bullish signal.
  • Confluence of multiple indicators (trendline, stochastic, moving averages, Fibonacci) strengthens the case for upward movement.
  • Price holding above key moving averages on retreat suggests buying pressure.
  • Fibonacci break at 24% level indicates a potential move to the next retracement level.
Risk Factors
  • If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.15114, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • The 1H timeframe shows a forming trend (2/5), which could indicate a temporary pause or consolidation.
  • Overbought conditions on lower timeframes may lead to a short-term pullback before continuation.
  • A close below the trendline break level would negate the breakout signal.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.16137 2026-08-17
S1 1.15114 2026-08-13
S2 1.13529 2026-07-28

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