EUR/USD – 4H – BUY
BUY
89%
▲ Bullish 89% (27.28)
▼ Bearish 11% (3.28)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 6h
- TomorrowEURPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.4%Previous 1.8%in 8h
- TomorrowEURPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.3%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.47 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.45 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.22 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish confluence: Trendline break, stochastic cross, and multiple moving average retreats all signal upward momentum.
- Strong trend alignment: All timeframes (15m to daily) are bullish, reinforcing the 4H signal.
- Fibonacci Break UpTrend adds extra confirmation of bullish continuation.
- Watch key levels: Resistance at 1.16137, support at 1.15114.
The EUR/USD 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events. A breakout above a descending trendline, coupled with a bullish cross on the stochastic fast indicator (STOCHF KD Cross Up), suggests a shift in momentum. Simultaneously, multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) are all retreating upward, indicating that price is pulling back to these dynamic support levels within an uptrend, which often precedes further upside. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) adds another layer of confluence, suggesting that price has broken above a key Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing bullish continuation.
Across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily, the trend is bullish, with most timeframes showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 1H showing a forming trend (2/5). This broad alignment across timeframes is a powerful confirmation of the bullish bias. The nearest resistance is at 1.16137, which could act as the next target, while the nearest support at 1.15114 is a critical level to watch; a break below this would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for potential entry and exit points.
Across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily, the trend is bullish, with most timeframes showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 1H showing a forming trend (2/5). This broad alignment across timeframes is a powerful confirmation of the bullish bias. The nearest resistance is at 1.16137, which could act as the next target, while the nearest support at 1.15114 is a critical level to watch; a break below this would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for potential entry and exit points.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to daily) supports the bullish signal.
- ▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (trendline, stochastic, moving averages, Fibonacci) strengthens the case for upward movement.
- ▲ Price holding above key moving averages on retreat suggests buying pressure.
- ▲ Fibonacci break at 24% level indicates a potential move to the next retracement level.
Risk Factors
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.15114, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ The 1H timeframe shows a forming trend (2/5), which could indicate a temporary pause or consolidation.
- ▼ Overbought conditions on lower timeframes may lead to a short-term pullback before continuation.
- ▼ A close below the trendline break level would negate the breakout signal.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
89%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.16137 | 2026-08-17 |
| S1 | 1.15114 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 1.13529 | 2026-07-28 |
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