USD/CHF 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
87%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 87% (11.26) ▼ Bearish 13% (1.75)
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 18m
  • TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 12h
  • TomorrowUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.32
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.21
EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.13
SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.05
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.01
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.85
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.73
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.15
Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 0.97
Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish indicators fired on the 1H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.81310 and support at 0.80717.
  • A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The USD/CHF 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat up from the lower Bollinger Band. Additionally, multiple moving averages (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200) show a retreat up, and the Hilbert Transform Trend Mode has shifted from a trend to a cycle, suggesting a potential reversal from the recent downtrend. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% adds confluence, indicating that price may be bouncing off a key Fibonacci level.

However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 1H and 4H showing trend formation but still bearish. This suggests that the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.81310 is a critical level; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.80717 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and be cautious of the prevailing bearish bias.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, MAs) increases the likelihood of a bounce.
  • Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% provides a technical level where buyers may step in.
  • Hilbert Transform Trend Mode shifting to cycle suggests a potential change in price behavior.
Risk Factors
  • All timeframes are bearish, so the bullish signal may be a temporary correction within a downtrend.
  • The 1H trend is still bearish and choppy, indicating weak momentum for a sustained reversal.
  • If price fails to hold above support at 0.80717, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • Resistance at 0.81310 may cap upside, as it aligns with the broader bearish trend.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.81310 2026-08-18
R2 0.81467 2026-08-13
S1 0.80717 2026-08-17
S2 0.80561 2026-08-07

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