USD/CHF – 1H – BUY
BUY
87%
▲ Bullish 87% (11.26)
▼ Bearish 13% (1.75)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 18m
- TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 12h
- TomorrowUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 18h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.21 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.97 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.84 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish indicators fired on the 1H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
- The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
- Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.81310 and support at 0.80717.
- A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The USD/CHF 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat up from the lower Bollinger Band. Additionally, multiple moving averages (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200) show a retreat up, and the Hilbert Transform Trend Mode has shifted from a trend to a cycle, suggesting a potential reversal from the recent downtrend. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% adds confluence, indicating that price may be bouncing off a key Fibonacci level.
However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 1H and 4H showing trend formation but still bearish. This suggests that the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.81310 is a critical level; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.80717 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and be cautious of the prevailing bearish bias.
However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 1H and 4H showing trend formation but still bearish. This suggests that the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.81310 is a critical level; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.80717 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and be cautious of the prevailing bearish bias.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, MAs) increases the likelihood of a bounce.
- ▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% provides a technical level where buyers may step in.
- ▲ Hilbert Transform Trend Mode shifting to cycle suggests a potential change in price behavior.
Risk Factors
- ▼ All timeframes are bearish, so the bullish signal may be a temporary correction within a downtrend.
- ▼ The 1H trend is still bearish and choppy, indicating weak momentum for a sustained reversal.
- ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.80717, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.81310 may cap upside, as it aligns with the broader bearish trend.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
87%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81310 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 0.81467 | 2026-08-13 |
| S1 | 0.80717 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 0.80561 | 2026-08-07 |
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