USD/CHF – 30M – BUY
BUY
74%
▲ Bullish 74% (9.10)
▼ Bearish 26% (3.21)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TodayUSDFOMC Minutes●●●in 20m
- TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 12h
- TomorrowUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 18h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.00 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.66 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.96 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
- Support at 0.81112 is the key level to hold; a break below would invalidate the setup.
- Resistance at 0.81310 is the immediate target; a break above could signal a stronger reversal.
- The signal is likely a counter-trend move, so keep position sizes small and use tight stops.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, a Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at 24%, a Bullish Engulfing pattern, and a Support Level Retreat Up. These signals collectively suggest a short-term upward correction within a broader bearish trend. The bullish momentum is supported by the price bouncing off the nearest support at 0.81112 and the Bullish Engulfing pattern indicating buyer interest. However, the overall trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour charts showing choppy/sideways action, suggesting that this is likely a counter-trend move rather than a reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81310, which could cap upside, and the support at 0.81112, which must hold for the bullish case. The Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at 24% suggests a shallow pullback, and the confluence of indicators adds weight to the signal. However, the bearish higher timeframes (4H, 1D) and the lack of strong trend alignment mean that any upside may be limited. Traders should watch for a break above resistance to confirm further upside, or a close below support to invalidate the bullish setup.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81310, which could cap upside, and the support at 0.81112, which must hold for the bullish case. The Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at 24% suggests a shallow pullback, and the confluence of indicators adds weight to the signal. However, the bearish higher timeframes (4H, 1D) and the lack of strong trend alignment mean that any upside may be limited. Traders should watch for a break above resistance to confirm further upside, or a close below support to invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCH, HT PHASOR) on the 30M timeframe.
- ▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern at support suggests buying pressure.
- ▲ Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at 24% indicates a shallow pullback within an uptrend leg.
- ▲ Support Level Retreat Up confirms price bouncing off a key level.
Risk Factors
- ▼ All higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
- ▼ The 30M and 1H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating weak momentum and potential false signals.
- ▼ A close below the 0.81112 support level would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further downside.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.81310 is nearby and could stall the advance.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
74%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-19 06:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81310 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 0.81350 | 2026-08-14 |
| R3 | 0.81406 | 2026-08-14 |
| S1 | 0.81112 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 0.81066 | 2026-08-18 |
| S3 | 0.80717 | 2026-08-17 |
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