EUR/JPY 1H SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (58.07)
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rising Wedge chart_pattern 2.70
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.14
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.79
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.67
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.64
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.52
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.45
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.35
HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.06
Hanging Man candlestick 0.96
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.76
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.68
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 0.55

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 1H chart: multiple momentum indicators crossing down simultaneously.
  • Rising Wedge and Trendline Retreat Down signal a potential reversal from the recent uptrend.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-2h) and the daily chart are bearish, but the 8h and 12h remain bullish and choppy.
  • Watch the nearest support at 185.433; a break below could confirm further downside, while resistance at 186.015 is the key invalidation level.
The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a strong sell setup. The Trendline Retreat Down and Rising Wedge pattern indicate that the recent upward momentum has stalled and price is now retreating from a trendline, a classic bearish reversal signal. The simultaneous cross-downs of the BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, and BBANDS MIDDLE indicators confirm that selling pressure is broad-based and momentum has decisively shifted to the downside. This confluence of pattern, trendline, and momentum signals, combined with a very strong strength score, suggests a high-probability short opportunity.

Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish, with the 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 1d timeframes all showing bearish trends, albeit some are still forming. The 4h is bearish but choppy, while the 8h and 12h are bullish and choppy, which introduces a conflicting element on the higher timeframes. However, the alignment of the lower timeframes and the daily chart supports the bearish case. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 186.015 and the nearest support at 185.433. A break below the support would likely accelerate the decline, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, BBANDS) all crossing down simultaneously, indicating strong momentum shift.
  • The Rising Wedge pattern and Trendline Retreat Down provide chart-based confirmation of bearish reversal.
  • Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 1d timeframes supports the bearish direction.
  • High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength score increase confidence in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • The 8h and 12h timeframes are still bullish (choppy), which could provide a counter-trend bounce.
  • The 4h is only weakly bearish (1/5), suggesting that the higher-timeframe trend is not fully aligned.
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 186.015, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a short squeeze could occur.
  • Momentum indicators are already deeply oversold, which could lead to a technical pullback or consolidation before further downside.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-24 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 186.01500 2026-08-21
S1 185.43300 2026-08-21
S2 183.92300 2026-08-19
S3 183.59600 2026-08-14

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