AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a confluence of bearish signals, despite the broader bullish trend across higher timeframes. The Ascending Triangle, a typically bullish continuation pattern, has been invalidated by a downside break, while the Bearish Harami and Tweezers Top candlestick patterns confirm selling pressure at the pattern's apex. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates that buying pressure has flipped to selling, and the STOCHF KD Cross Down shows fading momentum. The ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat signals that price is pulling back from the upper Bollinger band, adding to the short-term bearish case.

However, this is a counter-trend signal against a predominantly bullish backdrop. All timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bullish, though many are choppy or only trend-forming. The nearest support at 114.13700 is a critical level to watch; a break below could confirm a deeper correction, while a bounce from this level would invalidate the bearish thesis. The signal's moderate strength and 71% probability suggest a tactical short, not a long-term reversal, so traders should be prepared for a potential bounce at support.