USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
77%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 35% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 23% (11.90) ▼ Bearish 77% (38.77)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.93
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.56
Descending Triangle chart_pattern 2.53
TEMA Break Down indicator 2.34
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.23
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.21
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.11
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.57
KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.48
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.35
Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.16
Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.10
Matching Low candlestick 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • High-confluence bearish alert: trendline, pattern, and indicator signals all align on the 30M chart.
  • All timeframes (15m to 1d) are bearish, with strong trend scores confirming downtrend continuity.
  • Watch 156.28000 as the key resistance; a break above it would undermine the sell setup.
  • No immediate support is defined, so the downside may remain open while the bearish structure holds.
The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including trendline breaks in both directions, a descending triangle, and multiple DEMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE retreats. This confluence across candlestick, indicator, and chart pattern groups points to a strong, unified selling pressure. The bearish alignment spans all timeframes from 15m up to 1d, with trend scores consistently at 3/5 or 4/5, reinforcing that the medium-term downtrend is well established and likely to persist.

Immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 156.28000, which now acts as a key ceiling for any corrective bounces. With no clear support level defined, downside targets are left open, meaning the trend could extend further. The strong trend scores across higher timeframes, especially the 2h and 4h at 4/5, suggest that any short-term pullbacks are unlikely to reverse the dominant bearish bias. Conservative traders should watch for price to respect the resistance zone, while aggressive traders may look for continued downside momentum as long as price stays below it.
Catalysts
  • Full alignment of bearish trend scores across 8 timeframes, with 2h and 4h showing very strong trends.
  • Multiple retreat and break signals on DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE reinforce the same direction.
  • Descending triangle pattern on the 30M chart suggests continued distribution and lower targets.
  • Combined signal groups (trendline, candlestick, indicator, chart pattern) provide strong evidence of selling intent.
Risk Factors
  • A break back above the resistance at 156.28000 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Despite strong scores, a higher timeframe corrective bounce could slow the downtrend.
  • The descending triangle may have already been met; potential for an exhaustion of the signal.
  • Watch for bullish reversal candlestick patterns near the resistance that could signal a failed breakdown.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 77%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-07 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 156.28000 2026-09-04
R2 156.74700 2026-09-04
R3 159.00900 2026-09-02

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