AUD/JPY – 12H – BUY
BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
9 days ago
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.76 |
| ▲ | T3 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | MAMA Cross Up | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | RSX OB Entry | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▲ | Closing Marubozu Bullish | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.85 |
Trend Context
15MUPVery strong trend
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish momentum across multiple timeframes supports a buy bias on AUD/JPY.
- Watch the 114.95600 resistance; a break could open further upside.
- Support at 109.66100 is the key invalidation level.
- Daily trend is bearish, so manage risk accordingly.
The AUD/JPY 12H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple moving average retreats up (EMA, KAMA, MA), alongside MAMA Cross Up and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to sustained buying pressure, with the 12H trend scoring a solid 3/5 and the 15M timeframe showing a very strong trend at 4/5. The alignment across most intraday timeframes (15M to 12H) supports a bullish continuation, though the 1D timeframe remains bearish, indicating a potential higher-timeframe headwind.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 114.95600 and support at 109.66100. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. The strong probability (91%) and very strong strength rating suggest high conviction, but traders should remain cautious given the conflicting daily trend and the proximity of resistance.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 114.95600 and support at 109.66100. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. The strong probability (91%) and very strong strength rating suggest high conviction, but traders should remain cautious given the conflicting daily trend and the proximity of resistance.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, WILLR, moving averages, MAMA).
- ▲ Strong trend alignment across 15M to 12H timeframes.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (91%).
- ▲ Price holding above nearest support suggests buyers are in control.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Daily timeframe shows a bearish trend, which could cap upside.
- ▼ Resistance at 114.95600 may stall the rally.
- ▼ If price breaks below 109.66100, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum may fade if the 1H choppy trend persists.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
12H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
0%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-21 00:25
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 109.66100 | 2026-09-14 |
| S2 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |