ETH/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
57 minutes ago
54.9 % – erste Kerze
MODERATE Intraday
▲ Bullish 35 % (6.47) ▼ Bearish 65 % (12.22)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 65.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 35.6 % average · stopped out 31.1 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 875 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
ETH/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.23
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.75
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.54
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▲ TSI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.05
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 0.91
▲ MACD Zero Cross Up indicator 0.76
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.66

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum has turned bearish across multiple indicators, but the higher timeframe trend remains bullish.
  • The sell signal is likely a pullback within an uptrend rather than a full reversal.
  • Watch the 2656.92 support level; a break below could accelerate the decline, while a hold may see a bounce.
  • Resistance at 2738.51 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
The 1H SELL signal on ETH/USDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators turning bearish, including BOP Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down. The MACD Zero Cross Up and MAMA Cross Up suggest that the medium-term momentum is still attempting to push higher, but the overwhelming majority of short-term oscillators have flipped to the downside. This divergence between the signal's bearish lean and the broader bullish trend across higher timeframes (1H to 1D) indicates that the sell signal is likely a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend, rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 2656.92 and resistance at 2738.51. A break below support would confirm bearish short-term momentum and could lead to a deeper correction, while a hold above support and a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis. The 12H and 1D timeframes show a forming and solid bullish trend, respectively, which adds context but does not negate the immediate bearish pressure. The choppy nature across lower timeframes (15m to 8h) suggests that the sell signal may lack strong follow-through, and traders should be cautious about overextending short positions.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple zero cross downs (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) and STOCHF KD Cross Down reinforces bearish momentum.
  • ▼ BBANDS Middle Cross Down indicates price is trading below the middle band, adding to the bearish case.
  • ▼ The signal's timing aligns with a short-term correction, which is common in strong uptrends and may offer a favorable risk/reward for shorts.
  • ▼ The 1H timeframe is the primary signal timeframe, and the bearish cluster is directly relevant to that timeframe.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The bullish trend on higher timeframes (1H to 1D) could overpower the short-term bearish signal, leading to a quick bounce.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (15m-8h) suggest weak momentum and potential for false signals.
  • ▲ A break above the 2738.51 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and likely signal a continuation of the uptrend.
  • ▲ Momentum divergence (MACD and MAMA crossing up) indicates underlying buying pressure that could resurface.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 65%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-01 02:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,738.51000 2026-09-30
R2 2,748.60000 2026-09-29
S1 2,656.92000 2026-09-30
S2 2,652.20000 2026-09-29
S3 2,635.69000 2026-09-28

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