USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-01 05:30 UTC 59 minutes ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +31% Scalping

▲ Bullish 92 % (53.10) ▼ Bearish 8 % (4.31)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 92.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.91
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish breakout on the 30-minute chart, supported by a cluster of moving-average and momentum signals.
Immediate support at 156.65100 is the key level to watch for the long setup.
Higher timeframes are mixed-to-bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
No defined resistance above, so upside targets are unclear—use trailing stops or manage risk tightly.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, with multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) confirming upward momentum. The candlestick and indicator groups reinforce the bullish case, though the nearest resistance is undefined, meaning the pair may be entering a price-discovery phase. The nearest support sits at 156.65100, a level that bulls need to defend to keep the setup valid.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is strongest on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts, with solid trend scores (4/5 and 3/5). However, the higher timeframes—1h through 4h—are choppy and sideways, and the 12h and 1d are bearish. This suggests the current bullish move is a counter-trend correction within a larger bearish structure. The confluence of signals on the lower timeframes is compelling, but the lack of higher-timeframe support means traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, not a trend reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) align with the bullish breakout.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up confirms buying pressure is increasing.
▲ Trendline Break Up adds a classic technical pattern to the signal.
▲ Very strong signal strength (96%) and a 4/5 trend score on the 15-minute timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h-4h) are choppy/sideways, and the 12h/1d are bearish—this could cap upside.
▼ The nearest resistance is undefined, leaving the move without a clear target.
▼ A move back below 156.65100 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The move may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, so momentum could fade quickly.