GBP/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
35.3 %
↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.80)
▼ Bearish 93 % (35.07)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(30 Sep 2026, 22:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.87 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.53 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.50 |
| ▼ | MCGD Break Down | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | TSI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▲ | Matching Low | candlestick | 1.22 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 1.03 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 30M chart, with multiple zero-line crosses and EMA breakdowns.
- Broader trend is bearish from 4H up to daily, but 1H and 2H are bullish, creating a mixed picture.
- Watch the 1.32229 support; a break could accelerate downside, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
- Resistance at 1.33111 is the immediate upside barrier; a reclaim would weaken the bearish case.
On the 30-minute chart, GBP/USD has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including MACD, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crosses, a stochastic KD cross down, and DEMA/EMA breakdowns, with the EMA 200 also retreating lower. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure on the intraday timeframe, aligning with a broader bearish structure across the 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily charts, where trend scores range from solid to very strong. However, the 1H and 2H timeframes remain bullish, suggesting that the immediate downside may be part of a larger corrective move within a higher-timeframe uptrend. The signal's high probability (95%) and very strong strength reflect the alignment of multiple indicators, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 1.32229 and resistance at 1.33111. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation and potentially open the path toward lower levels, while a rebound from support could signal a false breakdown. The EMA 200 retreat down adds weight to the bearish case, but the bullish 1H and 2H trends could provide a counter-rally if the price holds above support. Overall, the signal suggests a short-term bearish bias, but traders should watch for a stall or reversal at support, especially given the mixed higher-timeframe signals.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 1.32229 and resistance at 1.33111. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation and potentially open the path toward lower levels, while a rebound from support could signal a false breakdown. The EMA 200 retreat down adds weight to the bearish case, but the bullish 1H and 2H trends could provide a counter-rally if the price holds above support. Overall, the signal suggests a short-term bearish bias, but traders should watch for a stall or reversal at support, especially given the mixed higher-timeframe signals.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of 12+ indicators all pointing lower on the 30M timeframe.
- ▼ Strong bearish alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily timeframes.
- ▼ EMA 200 retreat down suggests a shift in longer-term momentum on the intraday chart.
- ▼ High probability (95%) and very strong signal strength indicate robust conviction.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Bullish 1H and 2H trends could provide a counter-trend rally, invalidating the short-term bearish move.
- ▲ If price holds above 1.32229 support, the sell signal may fade, leading to a bounce toward resistance.
- ▲ The 30M and 15M trends are choppy/sideways, which could result in false signals or whipsaws.
- ▲ A break above 1.33111 resistance would signal a shift in momentum and invalidate the bearish outlook.
Symbol
GBP/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
0%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-01 01:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.33111 | 2026-09-30 |
| R2 | 1.34000 | 2026-09-21 |
| S1 | 1.32229 | 2026-09-30 |
| S2 | 1.32022 | 2026-09-29 |