USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-01 02:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 17 % (2.48) ▼ Bearish 83 % (11.93)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 3.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.8 % vs 18.4 % average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 11.5 % (Forex, 275 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 23:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.48
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.14
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.08
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.04
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	0.95
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPExtremely strong trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense set of bearish 30-minute signals points to a short-term pullback, but the higher-timeframe trend is strongly bullish.
The nearest support at 1.41546 is the key level to watch—a break below it could accelerate the correction.
The Bearish Harami and multiple momentum crossovers confirm the bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
Expect choppy price action given the conflicting timeframes: bullish daily/4H vs. bearish 30M.

The 30-minute USD/CAD chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals: the Balance of Power (BOP) crosses below zero, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) exits overbought, STOCHRSI prints a bearish cross, the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) retreats, the Efficiency Ratio (ER) crosses down, the SMI signal line crosses down, and price pulls back from the upper Keltner Channel. A Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds confirmation. This synchronized momentum and volatility retreat suggests a short-term pullback is underway, even though the broader trend remains firmly bullish.

Across higher timeframes, the bullish trend is dominant—especially on the 4H and 8H where trend strength is rated 5/5. The 30-minute signal is therefore likely a counter-trend correction within a larger uptrend. The nearest support sits at 1.41546, a level that may act as a pivot for a bounce or a breakdown trigger. Traders should watch how price reacts at that level; a hold could resume the uptrend, while a clean break would open the door for a deeper retracement.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align on the 30-minute chart, including BOP, CMO, STOCHRSI, TEMA, ER, SMI, and Keltner Channel—this confluence strengthens the sell signal.
▼ The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal confirmation.
▼ The 30-minute timeframe is showing 'trend forming' (2/5), which may allow the pullback to develop without immediately conflicting with a strong higher-timeframe trend.
▼ Momentum and volatility indicators are all retreating from overbought/upper extremes, suggesting exhaustion of the immediate upside.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are in extremely strong bullish trends (5/5), which could quickly absorb the 30-minute pullback and resume the uptrend.
▲ If the price holds above 1.41546 and bounces, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the sell setup would fail.
▲ The 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes are only mildly bullish (1/5) and choppy, which may lead to a sideways consolidation rather than a clean move down.
▲ The daily trend is still forming (2/5), so the longer-term direction is not fully confirmed, adding uncertainty to the pullback's depth.