ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-02 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

53.9 % ↑ +14.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 43 % (5.30) ▼ Bearish 57 % (7.15)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 57.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.1 % vs 35.0 % average · stopped out 48.8 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,534 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.01
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signals on 30m, but overall trend is bullish across all timeframes.
Watch support at 2673.42; a break below could accelerate downside, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
Momentum indicators (STOCHF, BOP) and candlestick pattern (Northern Doji) suggest a pullback, but the bullish higher timeframes may limit downside.
CTI OB Entry indicates overbought conditions, adding to the case for a short-term correction.

The SELL signal on ETH/USDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick indicators, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms fading upside momentum. The HMA Retreat Down and Northern Doji candlestick pattern further support a bearish reversal in the immediate session. However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bullish, with higher timeframes (12h and 1d) showing strengthening trends. This creates a conflict: the signal is a counter-trend move against the prevailing bullish bias, which may limit its duration and depth.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 2673.42 and resistance at 2714.76. A break below support could confirm the bearish move and open the door for further downside, while a hold above support might see the pullback fade. The CTI OB Entry signals an overbought condition, which aligns with the bearish setup, but the overall bullish trend across timeframes (all scoring 1/5 or higher) suggests that any downside may be limited and could be a buying opportunity for longer-term traders. The signal's moderate strength and 69% probability indicate a reasonable but not overwhelming edge.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HMA) and a candlestick pattern (Northern Doji) all pointing to a short-term bearish move.
▼ Overbought conditions as indicated by CTI OB Entry, suggesting the market may be due for a pullback.
▼ The signal's probability of 69% and moderate strength provide a reasonable edge for a short-term trade.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes, including the 1d solid trend, could overpower the bearish signal, leading to a quick reversal.
▲ The signal is on a lower timeframe (30m) and may be noise within a larger uptrend; conflicting with the higher timeframe trend.
▲ If price holds above support at 2673.42, the bearish momentum may fade, and the signal could be invalidated.
▲ Momentum indicators could shift quickly; watch for a bullish crossover or a break above resistance at 2714.76 to negate the setup.