EUR/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
35.3 % – zur Vorkerze
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Scalping
▲ Bullish 11 % (4.38) ▼ Bearish 89 % (36.40)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 4.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
EUR/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 4%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.59
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.51
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.35
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.27
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.87
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 1.87
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.58
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.32
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.02
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.71

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30M chart, including CCI, STOCH, EMA, and MAMA breaks, indicating strong selling pressure.
  • Trend is bearish across all key timeframes (15M to 4H), with very strong trend scores on the lower timeframes.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.94786; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The nearest support at 0.93240 is the likely downside target if the bearish momentum persists.
The EUR/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, and T3 Break Down, with additional signals across indicator and candlestick groups. This confluence points to strong selling pressure and a breakdown in momentum. The trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute through the 4-hour timeframes, with very strong trend scores (4/5) on the lower timeframes and solid (3/5) on the 2H and 4H, confirming that the short-term and medium-term trends are aligned to the downside. The nearest resistance sits at 0.94786, which now acts as a ceiling, while the nearest support is at 0.93240, a level that could provide a bounce if tested. The overall picture suggests that as long as price remains below the resistance, the bearish bias is intact, with a target toward support if momentum continues.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (CCI, STOCH, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, T3) on the 30M chart.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15M, 30M, 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, all bearish.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores (4/5) on the lower timeframes indicate robust momentum.
  • ▼ Price breaking below key moving averages and trendlines suggests a technical breakdown.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakdowns or a reversal if the broader trend is not supportive.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.94786 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum may be overextended after the rapid decline, leading to a pullback or consolidation before further downside.
  • ▲ The 12H and 1D timeframes are only trend forming, so the longer-term trend is not fully confirmed, increasing the risk of a trend reversal.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-02 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.94786 2026-10-01
R2 0.94862 2026-09-30
S1 0.93240 2026-10-01

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