GBP/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
35.3 %
↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.24)
▼ Bearish 93 % (30.41)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 4.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(2 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | RSX OB Exit | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators aligning.
- Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, supporting the short-term sell signal.
- Watch the 1.31815 support; a break confirms the bearish move, while 1.32665 is the invalidation level.
- Short-term bullish trends on lower timeframes are weak and likely to reverse.
The GBP/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and EMA 200 Retreat Down, alongside retreats in KAMA and SMA 200. These signals collectively indicate a shift in short-term momentum from bullish to bearish, with selling pressure building as price retreats from overbought conditions. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30-minute timeframe suggests a high-probability short-term reversal, aligning with the broader bearish trend seen on higher timeframes.
Trend alignment across timeframes shows a clear bearish bias on the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily charts, with the 8H and 12H trends rated as very strong. The 15M and 1H trends are still bullish but only forming, indicating they are likely to roll over. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.31815; a break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward deeper declines. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 1.32665 serves as a key invalidation point—if price reclaims this level, the bearish signal would be negated.
Trend alignment across timeframes shows a clear bearish bias on the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily charts, with the 8H and 12H trends rated as very strong. The 15M and 1H trends are still bullish but only forming, indicating they are likely to roll over. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.31815; a break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward deeper declines. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 1.32665 serves as a key invalidation point—if price reclaims this level, the bearish signal would be negated.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart increases signal reliability.
- ▼ Strong bearish trends on 8H and 12H timeframes provide a clear directional bias.
- ▼ Price retreating from overbought conditions (WILLR OB Exit) suggests exhaustion of bullish momentum.
- ▼ Retreats from key moving averages (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200) indicate a shift in trend dynamics.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15M and 1H trends are still bullish, which could cause short-term bounces against the signal.
- ▲ If price fails to break below 1.31815, the bearish move may stall, leading to consolidation.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 1.32665 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ Momentum oscillators (STOCHF, BOP) may show divergence if the sell-off loses steam.
Symbol
GBP/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
5%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-02 11:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.32665 | 2026-10-01 |
| R2 | 1.32728 | 2026-10-01 |
| R3 | 1.33111 | 2026-09-30 |
| S1 | 1.31815 | 2026-10-02 |
| S2 | 1.31808 | 2026-10-01 |