SOL/BTC – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
67.1 % – zur Vorkerze
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (22.06) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.24)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 94.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
SOL/BTC  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 95%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA 50 Break Up indicator 2.99
▲ Falling Wedgebreak + retest chart_pattern 2.73
▲ MACD Regular Bull Div divergence 2.73
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.51
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.25
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ SUPERTREND Flip Bullish indicator 2.21
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 2.19
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 2.15
▲ T3 Retreat Up indicator 2.02
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.00
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.96
▲ EMA 50 Break Up indicator 1.93
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.90
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.88
▲ MACD Zero Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.24
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 30m with multiple confirmations (trendline break, falling wedge, moving average crossovers).
  • Short-term trend (15m, 30m, 1h) is bullish, but higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bearish, creating a mixed outlook.
  • Key resistance at 0.00142; a break above could open further upside, while support at 0.00139 is critical for the bullish case.
  • Given the conflicting higher-timeframe trends, this may be a counter-trend bounce; watch for sustained momentum.
The SOL/BTC pair on the 30-minute timeframe has triggered a very strong bullish signal (98% probability) driven by a confluence of trendline breaks, a falling wedge breakout, and multiple moving average crossovers. The APO and MACD zero-line crossovers confirm upward momentum, while the EMA and KAMA breakouts indicate a shift in short-term trend structure. The signal is supported by a bullish 15m and 1h trend, with the 1h showing a solid trend. However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are still bearish, which suggests that this could be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.00142 is the immediate target, while support at 0.00139 is the level to watch for invalidation.

Traders should note that while the short-term momentum is strongly bullish, the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. The breakout needs to sustain above the resistance to confirm a trend reversal, otherwise it may be a false breakout. The falling wedge pattern typically resolves upward, and the multiple bullish signals increase the probability of a continued move. However, the bearish 2h and 4h trends could cap gains, and a break below the support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of bullish signals: trendline break, falling wedge breakout, and multiple moving average crossovers.
  • ▲ APO and MACD zero-line crossovers confirm strengthening bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Bullish trend on 1h and 12h timeframes supports the short-term move.
  • ▲ Strong signal probability (98%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bearish, which could limit upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Failure to break above resistance at 0.00142 could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ A break below support at 0.00139 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on some timeframes may reduce trend reliability.
Symbol SOL/BTC
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 95%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-02 01:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00142 2026-10-01
R2 0.00144 2026-09-30
R3 0.00144 2026-09-29
S1 0.00139 2026-10-01

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