SOL/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-02 05:00 UTC 1 hour ago

42.8 % ↓ −17.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 23 % (4.00) ▼ Bearish 77 % (13.13)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 25.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.2 % vs 35.0 % average · stopped out 30.0 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 920 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.81
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.05
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.73

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) and a Bearish Harami align to signal a short-term sell opportunity.
The Fibonacci BreakDown Trend (24%) suggests the price has broken a key retracement level, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Watch the 0.00139 support; a break below could lead to further downside, while holding above 0.00144 resistance would invalidate the signal.
Higher timeframe trends are mixed, so this signal is best viewed as a short-term counter-trend move within a larger bullish context.

The SELL signal on SOL/BTC at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, KDJ Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, and a Bearish Harami. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bullish momentum is stalling and a short-term pullback is likely. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) adds a technical level to watch, indicating that the price has broken below a key retracement level, reinforcing the bearish bias.

While the immediate trend across the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes is bullish, the signal suggests a potential reversal or correction within that uptrend. The higher timeframes are mixed, with the 4-hour and 8-hour showing bearish tendencies, which adds weight to the bearish signal. The nearest resistance at 0.00144 and support at 0.00139 are critical levels; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a hold above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern.
▼ Fibonacci BreakDown Trend (24%) provides a technical level that supports the bearish case.
▼ The 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes show bearish trends, aligning with the short-term bearish signal.
▼ Strong signal strength (83% probability) and a solid trend score on the 30-minute timeframe.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes are bullish, which could limit the downside or lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 12-hour and daily timeframes are bullish, indicating that the longer-term trend remains up, which may override the short-term signal.
▲ If the price holds above the 0.00144 resistance, the bearish signal could be invalidated, and momentum may resume upward.
▲ The bearish signal is on a low timeframe (30M), which is prone to noise and whipsaws; traders should use tight risk management.