AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
59.3 %
– zur Vorkerze
STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 18 % (5.26)
▼ Bearish 82 % (24.51)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 82.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
50% — below this the other side leads
Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(7 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Exit | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 30m chart, confirmed by multiple indicators including BOP and moving-average retreats.
- Short-term timeframes (15m/30m/1h) align bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy—treat this as a short-term trade.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.99581, support at 0.98993; a break above resistance invalidates the sell setup.
- WILLR OS Exit and BBANDS Lower Retreat Up suggest a possible minor bounce, but the overall bias remains down.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline) that confirm sellers are in control. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Down and WILLR OS Exit add momentum confirmation, while the BBANDS Lower Retreat Up signals price pulling back from the lower band—often a pause before continuation. With 77% probability and strong strength, the setup points to a continued move lower toward the nearest support at 0.98993, with resistance at 0.99581 acting as the key ceiling.
Trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 30m and 15m rated as solid (3/5). However, higher timeframes from 2h to 12h are only choppy/sideways, and the daily is mildly bullish, so the bearish move is primarily a short-term phenomenon. This suggests the sell signal is best suited for quick trades on the 30m chart, with the nearest support as the primary downside target and a break above 0.99581 invalidating the bearish case.
Trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 30m and 15m rated as solid (3/5). However, higher timeframes from 2h to 12h are only choppy/sideways, and the daily is mildly bullish, so the bearish move is primarily a short-term phenomenon. This suggests the sell signal is best suited for quick trades on the 30m chart, with the nearest support as the primary downside target and a break above 0.99581 invalidating the bearish case.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of bearish signals across indicator and candlestick groups strengthens the sell case.
- ▼ Solid bearish trend on 15m and 30m timeframes (3/5) supports continuation.
- ▼ Price is below key resistance at 0.99581, keeping the path of least resistance downward.
- ▼ High probability (77%) and strong signal strength indicate robust setup.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2h to 12h) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
- ▲ The daily timeframe is mildly bullish, a potential conflicting signal that might support a bounce.
- ▲ A break above nearest resistance at 0.99581 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ WILLR OS Exit and BBANDS Lower Retreat Up hint at possible short-term oversold bounce, which could stall the decline.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
82%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-10-07 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.99581 | 2026-10-06 |
| S1 | 0.98993 | 2026-10-07 |
| S2 | 0.98938 | 2026-10-05 |
| S3 | 0.98283 | 2026-10-02 |