USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-07 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

40.3 % ↓ −20.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 94 % (41.50) ▼ Bearish 6 % (2.78)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 32.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 18.7 % average · stopped out 15.9 % vs 11.5 % (Forex, 327 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.59
▼	EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	1.84
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.73
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.67
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.66
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

UPExtremely strong trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, with multiple momentum indicators aligning to suggest upward pressure.
The signal is a counter-trend move against the bearish 4-hour trend, but aligns with the bullish 8-hour and daily trends.
Key levels: resistance at 1.42853 and support at 1.42040; watch for a break above resistance to confirm the move.
The signal is best seen as a short-term bounce within a larger bullish structure, not a reversal of the intermediate downtrend.

The 30-minute USD/CAD signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and DEMA Retreat Up, alongside a series of moving average retreats. This suggests that buying pressure is reasserting itself after a pullback, with the short-term trend attempting to turn higher. However, the signal is set against a backdrop of mixed higher-timeframe trends: the 4-hour is bearish, while the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily are all bullish, indicating that the broader structure remains upward but the intermediate timeframe is in a corrective phase. The signal's strength and 84% probability point to a high-confidence short-term bounce, but the conflicting timeframes warrant caution. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.42853 and support at 1.42040; a break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF) have crossed above their zero lines, confirming bullish momentum.
▲ Moving average retreats (DEMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPRICE) indicate that the pullback is being bought, supporting the signal.
▲ The bullish trend on the 8-hour and daily timeframes provides a supportive backdrop for the short-term buy signal.
▲ The signal's high probability (84%) and strong strength suggest a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4-hour trend is bearish, and the 30-minute trend is choppy/sideways, which could limit upside or lead to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.42853 is a potential barrier; if the price fails to break above it, the signal could weaken.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.42040 would invalidate the signal and likely lead to further downside.
▼ The presence of a Death Cross on the 50/200 EMA on the 30-minute chart indicates that the longer-term momentum on this timeframe is still bearish.