BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-07 08:30 UTC 15 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.45 %

Entry

83,952.42

Target

83,577.00 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

86,698.99 −3.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,590 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,590 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MIDPOINT Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.82
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.65
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.30
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	1.92
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.52
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.43
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.07
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30m chart, confirmed by multiple indicators and a Bear Flag pattern.
All lower timeframes (15m-1h) are in solid downtrends, aligning with the short-term sell signal.
Watch the 83577 support; a break below could extend the decline, while 86699 is the key resistance to reclaim.
Higher timeframes (8h-1d) remain bullish, so this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 30-minute chart, led by a Bear Flag pattern and confirmed by a wave of momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero and an RSI oversold entry. The DEMA and MIDPOINT breaks reinforce the downside momentum, while the +8 additional signals suggest broad-based selling pressure. With all lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) in solid bearish trends and the 2h/4h trends forming bearish, the short-term path of least resistance is clearly to the downside.

However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain in solid bullish trends, creating a conflicting backdrop. This suggests the current sell-off is likely a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 83577.00; a break below that would open the door to deeper losses, while a reclaim of the 86698.99 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor whether the higher-timeframe bullish trends start to erode, which would shift the overall bias.

Catalysts

▼ Bear Flag pattern on the 30m chart signals a continuation of the prior downtrend.
▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero confirm strong selling pressure.
▼ DEMA and MIDPOINT breakdowns add technical confluence to the bearish case.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the short-term downside move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are still in solid bullish trends, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ RSI oversold entry suggests the market may be due for a bounce, potentially stalling the decline.
▲ If price reclaims the 86698.99 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 2h and 4h trends are only forming bearish, so the longer-term bearish momentum is not yet fully established.