BCH/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
39.0 %
↓ −24.8 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 14 % (4.77)
▼ Bearish 86 % (28.67)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 14.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(8 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | TRIMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | FISHER Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.89 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNExtremely strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with alignment across the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes.
- Key levels to watch: support at 298.70 and resistance at 308.90.
- Higher timeframes (4H, 12H) are still forming bearish trends, while the daily trend remains bullish, creating potential conflict.
- The signal is strong (86% probability) but not without risk due to the mixed higher timeframe picture.
The BCH/USDT 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including zero-line crossings on the Balance of Power, Momentum, and Rate of Change indicators, a Stochastic KD cross down, a middle Bollinger Band cross down, and retreats in both KAMA and moving averages. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong short-term bearish push, with the 30-minute timeframe showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 1-hour timeframe displaying an extremely strong bearish trend (5/5). The alignment across these key timeframes reinforces the bearish case, suggesting that the current move is not just a one-off fluctuation but part of a broader downward phase.
However, the higher timeframes present a mixed picture: the 4-hour and 12-hour trends are only forming (2/5), and the daily trend remains bullish (3/5), which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal if the bearish momentum fades. The nearest resistance sits at 308.90, while support is at 298.70. A break below support would likely confirm the bearish momentum, whereas a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch these levels closely, as the daily bullish trend provides a potential counterweight to the current short-term bearish pressure.
However, the higher timeframes present a mixed picture: the 4-hour and 12-hour trends are only forming (2/5), and the daily trend remains bullish (3/5), which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal if the bearish momentum fades. The nearest resistance sits at 308.90, while support is at 298.70. A break below support would likely confirm the bearish momentum, whereas a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch these levels closely, as the daily bullish trend provides a potential counterweight to the current short-term bearish pressure.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators all firing bearish simultaneously.
- ▼ Strong bearish trend on the 1-hour timeframe (5/5) and solid bearish trend on the 30-minute (3/5).
- ▼ Price is below the middle Bollinger Band, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
- ▼ The signal includes candlestick patterns, adding to the bearish confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The daily timeframe is still bullish (3/5), which could lead to a reversal or limit downside.
- ▲ The 4-hour and 12-hour trends are only forming, so the higher-timeframe bearish trend is not fully established.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 308.90 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 15-minute and 8-hour timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting potential for whipsaws.
Symbol
BCH/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
15%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-08 01:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 308.90000 | 2026-10-07 |
| R2 | 318.10000 | 2026-10-06 |
| R3 | 321.90000 | 2026-10-05 |
| S1 | 298.70000 | 2026-10-07 |