GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-08 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 95 % (24.23) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.28)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 95.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.2 % vs 18.7 % average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.5 % (Forex, 385 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.19
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a possible short-term bounce, but the higher-timeframe trend is bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 210.203; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while a drop below support at 208.232 would invalidate the bullish setup.
The confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCHF, Keltner, candlestick) increases the probability of a bounce, but the bearish trend across most timeframes limits upside potential.
The signal's high probability (77%) and strong strength indicate a relatively high-confidence setup, but traders should remain cautious given the conflicting trend alignment.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a Keltner Lower Lower retreat, and a Spinning Top Bullish candlestick. These signals suggest that the recent bearish momentum may be stalling and that a short-term bounce could be developing. However, the broader trend across multiple timeframes remains bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts. This creates a conflicting picture: the intraday signals point to a potential counter-trend rally, but the higher-timeframe trend is firmly down. The nearest resistance at 210.203 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a more sustained reversal, while a failure to hold above support at 208.232 would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, Keltner Lower Lower retreat, Spinning Top Bullish), indicating strong short-term momentum.
▲ The Keltner Lower Lower retreat suggests that price has pulled back to a potential support area, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
▲ The Spinning Top Bullish candlestick pattern indicates indecision and a possible reversal from the recent bearish move.
▲ The signal's high probability (77%) and strong strength suggest that the setup is well-supported by technical indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend across multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 1d) argues against a sustained bullish move; this could be a counter-trend bounce that fades quickly.
▼ The nearest resistance at 210.203 is a significant overhead level; if price fails to break above it, the bullish momentum may stall.
▼ The MACD Signal Cross Down is a bearish signal that could offset the bullish signals, indicating that momentum may still be favoring sellers.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 208.232, the bullish setup would be invalidated, and the bearish trend could resume.