USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-08 16:00 UTC 14 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.38 %

Entry

158.184

Target

157.583 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.511 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Signal Cross Down, TSI Signal Cross Down, DI CROSS Cross Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.63
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.28
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple momentum and directional indicators aligned.
Trend is predominantly bearish across most timeframes, but choppy conditions suggest caution.
Key levels: resistance at 158.30300, support at 157.58300.
Watch for a break below support to confirm continuation; a move above resistance would negate the signal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Cross Down, DM Cross Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, and ROC Zero Cross Down, among others. This broad-based momentum and directional alignment indicates strong selling pressure on the short-term timeframe, with the signal probability at 79% and strength rated as strong. The candlestick group adds a layer of confirmation, suggesting that price action is also turning bearish.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with 15m, 30m, 4h, 8h all showing bearish conditions, though choppy and sideways. The 2h and 1d timeframes are bearish and bullish respectively, but both are trend-forming, indicating potential for follow-through. The 1h and 12h are bullish but also choppy, which could limit downside momentum. The nearest resistance at 158.30300 and support at 157.58300 define the immediate range; a break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Broad alignment of momentum oscillators (MACD, CMO, MOM, ROC) all crossing down.
▼ Directional indicators (DI, DM) confirming bearish crossovers.
▼ Candlestick patterns adding confluence to the bearish momentum.
▼ 2h and 1d timeframes showing trend formation in line with the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (1h, 12h) is bullish, which could provide support and limit downside.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes may lead to false breakouts or range-bound trading.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 158.30300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if price fails to break below the nearest support at 157.58300.