ADA/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.02 %
Entry
0.2356
Target
0.2238 +5.01 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.2582 −9.59 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 7,544 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 7,544 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CTI OB Entry +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 29 % (5.05) ▼ Bearish 71 % (12.08)
model score 7.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
ADA/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 7%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up indicator 2.53
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.10
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.06
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart align with solid downtrends on higher timeframes, suggesting selling pressure is likely to continue.
  • Watch the resistance at 0.25820; a failure to break above it keeps the bearish bias intact.
  • The primary downside target is the support at 0.22380; a break below could signal further decline.
  • The 15-minute bullish choppiness is a warning that a short-term bounce is possible, but it is not strong enough to reverse the trend.
The 30-minute SELL signal for ADA/USDT is supported by a confluence of bearish indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure to selling pressure, while the CTI OB Entry suggests an overbought condition that often precedes a pullback. The HMA Retreat Down confirms a short-term downtrend, and the bearish candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji and Shooting Star) at a potential resistance area reinforce the selling bias. The Ichimoku TK Cross Up, despite its bullish name, may be signaling a temporary bounce within a larger downtrend, but the overall bearish alignment across the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, and daily timeframes suggests that selling pressure is dominant.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish. The 15-minute chart is bullish but choppy, indicating a weak counter-trend move that could be fading. The 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, and daily charts all show solid bearish trends, while higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are forming bearish trends. This suggests that the current pullback is likely to be temporary, and the path of least resistance is to the downside. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.25820, which could act as a pivot for further downside, and the nearest support at 0.22380, which is the primary downside target. A break below this support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, CTI, HMA) confirm bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Shooting Star) add confluence to the sell signal.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trends on 30m, 1h, 2h, and daily timeframes support the downside move.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.25820 is likely to cap any upside attempts.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute bullish trend, though weak, could trigger a short-term bounce that may delay the expected decline.
  • ▲ The Ichimoku TK Cross Up is a bullish signal; if it gains traction, it could undermine the bearish outlook.
  • ▲ If the price breaks above the resistance at 0.25820, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a move higher is possible.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the CTI overbought condition unwinds quickly, leading to a sideways consolidation instead of a sharp drop.
Symbol ADA/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-09 04:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.25820 2026-10-08
R2 0.25910 2026-10-07
R3 0.28240 2026-10-06
S1 0.22380 2026-10-08

Tags

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