AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-09 03:00 UTC 38 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

10.275

Target

9.764 +4.97 %

closes in profit

Stop

11.406 −11.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 7,544 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,544 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 35 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

47.1 % ↓ −10.1 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 31 % (4.41) ▼ Bearish 69 % (9.61)

model score 35.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.34
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.22
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.97
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish reversal signals on the 30m chart suggest a potential pullback from recent highs.
Resistance at 11.40600 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish case.
Support at 9.76400 is the primary downside target; watch for a reaction there.
Mixed timeframes: immediate trend is bullish, but higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bearish, favoring a downside move.

The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, alongside a MAMA Cross Up and a shift to trend mode. The candlestick pattern adds weight with a Long Legged Doji, Bearish Harami Cross, and Shooting Star, all suggesting a potential reversal from recent highs. The confluence of indicator and candlestick signals points to a short-term bearish bias, with the nearest resistance at 11.40600 acting as a key ceiling and support at 9.76400 as the primary downside target.

Trend alignment is mixed across timeframes: the 15m and 30m are still bullish but only trend-forming, while the 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h are bearish, with the 1h and 2h showing solid trends. This suggests the immediate bullish momentum may be fading, and the larger bearish structure could dominate. The daily timeframe is bullish, however, which adds a layer of uncertainty. The signal's 68% probability and moderate strength indicate a reasonable edge, but traders should watch the 11.40600 resistance for invalidation and the 9.76400 support for potential profit-taking or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals align: BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, and candlestick patterns reinforce each other.
▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h) show solid bearish trends, supporting the sell signal.
▼ Price retreating from upper Bollinger Band suggests overbought conditions and a potential mean reversion.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Shooting Star, Bearish Harami Cross) are classic reversal indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m are still bullish, and the daily is bullish, which could override the short-term bearish signal.
▲ A break above the 11.40600 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and likely trigger a rally.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls near support, leading to a sideways consolidation.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the move may be limited in size.