ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-09 00:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

0.03025

Target

0.03008 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03253 −7.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 57 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.06 % per trade 1,053 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,053 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.52 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.72 % 26 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.85 % 17 % at stop avg −3.93 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % – first candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 36 % (4.06) ▼ Bearish 64 % (7.25)

model score 64.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.35
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.09
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.01
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	0.77

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals are stacking on the 4H, with multiple indicators and candlestick patterns aligning.
The trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the 2H showing the strongest downtrend.
Key resistance to watch is 0.03253; a break above would invalidate the bearish case.
The signal is weak (64% probability), so position sizing should be conservative.

The 4H chart for ETH/BTC is flashing a bearish signal, with a confluence of indicators and candlestick patterns pointing to continued downside pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure has overtaken buying, while the T3 and ALMA Retreat Downs confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs within a broader downtrend. The STOCH KD Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up suggest a short-term bounce may be underway, but the ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit implies that the recent move has pushed price to an extreme, which could lead to a reversal or consolidation. The Long Legged Doji and Shooting Star add bearish candlestick confirmation, suggesting that buyers are losing momentum and sellers are stepping in.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 2H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 1H, 4H, and 8H all solidly bearish (3/5). The 15M is bullish, but it's a weak, forming trend (2/5), which could be a minor pullback within the larger downtrend. The nearest resistance sits at 0.03253, and with no clear support below, the path of least resistance appears to be lower. However, the signal's probability is only 64% and strength is weak, so caution is warranted. Traders should watch for a break below recent lows to confirm the bearish continuation, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes.
▼ Confluence of BOP, T3, and ALMA all pointing down.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Shooting Star, Long Legged Doji) at potential resistance.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests price may be stretched, but the exit could signal a bounce, so this is double-edged.

Risk Factors

▲ Weak signal strength (64%) and low probability of success.
▲ The 15M is bullish, which could spark a counter-trend bounce.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up hint at short-term upward momentum, which could delay the move.
▲ A break above 0.03253 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.